Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Skövde AIK vs Utsiktens BK

Team pages: Skövde AIK · Utsiktens BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Skövde AIK2.09

Utsiktens BK1.2

1X2

57% 22% 21%

Skövde AIK Draw Utsiktens BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Skövde AIK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWDWWLLW

Utsiktens BK 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLDDLDLDLW

Head-to-head

Skövde AIK 2–1–3 Utsiktens BK (6 last)

Utsiktens BK2-3Skövde AIK
Utsiktens BK2-1Skövde AIK
Skövde AIK1-1Utsiktens BK
Utsiktens BK4-1Skövde AIK
Skövde AIK2-0Utsiktens BK
Utsiktens BK1-0Skövde AIK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skövde AIK 1497 · Utsiktens BK 1444

	Skövde AIK	Draw	Utsiktens BK
Our model	57%	23%	20%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skövde AIK (rating 1497 vs 1444).
H2H favours Utsiktens BK: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skövde AIK	Utsiktens BK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.2	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.10

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:21 +21’	1.57	4.10	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skövde AIK 2–1–3 Utsiktens BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Utsiktens BK	2-3 HT 1-2	Skövde AIK
02/03/25 Sweden Cup	Utsiktens BK	2-1 HT 1-0	Skövde AIK
19/10/24 Sweden Superettan	Skövde AIK	1-1 HT 1-0	Utsiktens BK
04/05/24 Sweden Superettan	Utsiktens BK	4-1 HT 1-0	Skövde AIK
29/10/23 Sweden Superettan	Skövde AIK	2-0 HT 0-0	Utsiktens BK
02/04/23 Sweden Superettan	Utsiktens BK	1-0 HT 0-0	Skövde AIK

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	24	15	6	3	53	28	51
2	Atvidabergs FF	24	13	6	5	48	34	45
3	Hässleholms IF	24	13	3	8	44	29	42
4	Lunds BK	24	11	8	5	46	28	41
5	Ariana FC Malmo	24	10	8	6	44	35	38
6	FC Rosengård 1917	24	10	8	6	41	34	38
7	FC Trollhättan	24	10	7	7	41	36	37
8	Jonkopings Sodra	24	9	6	9	29	25	33
9	Tvååkers IF	24	9	6	9	32	37	33
10	BK Olympic	24	9	3	12	41	46	30
11	Skövde AIK	24	7	9	8	28	36	30
12	Eskilsminne IF	24	8	5	11	39	44	29
13	Kristianstad FC	24	7	6	11	29	36	27
14	Laholms FK	24	6	4	14	31	43	22
15	Angelholm	24	3	9	12	28	47	18
16	Utsiktens BK	24	2	6	16	21	57	12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skövde AIK	Utsiktens BK
Jonkopings Sodra	2-3 L	3-0 W
FC Trollhättan	1-3 L	0-5 L
Trelleborgs FF	2-1 W	1-2 L
Tvååkers IF	1-1 D	2-2 D
Lunds BK	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Skövde AIK (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skövde AIK

LDLWDWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	4	1	W
21/09	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-3	3	3	L
17/09	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
12/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	3-0	3	1	W
06/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
29/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	10	1	D
23/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-1	7	3	W
16/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
08/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
01/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-3	7	3	L

Utsiktens BK

DLDDLDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
19/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
16/09	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
11/09	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	0-5	6	4	L
05/09	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
30/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	5	0	L
22/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
16/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	3	0	D
08/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
01/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	7	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skövde AIK vs Utsiktens BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skövde AIK win (57%). Probabilities: Skövde AIK 57%, draw 22%, Utsiktens BK 21%.

How many goals are expected in Skövde AIK vs Utsiktens BK?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Skövde AIK 2.09 · Utsiktens BK 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Skövde AIK vs Utsiktens BK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.