Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: Tvååkers IF vs Hässleholms IF

Team pages: Tvååkers IF · Hässleholms IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Tvååkers IF1.34

Hässleholms IF1.58

1X2

32% 26% 42%

Tvååkers IF Draw Hässleholms IF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tvååkers IF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWDWDLLL

Hässleholms IF 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLWLL

Head-to-head

Tvååkers IF 0–1 Hässleholms IF (1 last)

Hässleholms IF4-2Tvååkers IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tvååkers IF 1477 · Hässleholms IF 1551

	Tvååkers IF	Draw	Hässleholms IF
Our model	31%	27%	42%
Market	32%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hässleholms IF (rating 1477 vs 1551).
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tvååkers IF	Hässleholms IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.8	1.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.9	1.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:57 +34’	2.80	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tvååkers IF 0–0–1 Hässleholms IF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Hässleholms IF	4-2 HT 3-1	Tvååkers IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	24	15	6	3	53	28	51
2	Atvidabergs FF	24	13	6	5	48	34	45
3	Hässleholms IF	24	13	3	8	44	29	42
4	Lunds BK	24	11	8	5	46	28	41
5	Ariana FC Malmo	24	10	8	6	44	35	38
6	FC Rosengård 1917	24	10	8	6	41	34	38
7	FC Trollhättan	24	10	7	7	41	36	37
8	Jonkopings Sodra	24	9	6	9	29	25	33
9	Tvååkers IF	24	9	6	9	32	37	33
10	BK Olympic	24	9	3	12	41	46	30
11	Skövde AIK	24	7	9	8	28	36	30
12	Eskilsminne IF	24	8	5	11	39	44	29
13	Kristianstad FC	24	7	6	11	29	36	27
14	Laholms FK	24	6	4	14	31	43	22
15	Angelholm	24	3	9	12	28	47	18
16	Utsiktens BK	24	2	6	16	21	57	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tvååkers IF	Hässleholms IF
FC Trollhättan	2-4 L	0-1 L
Trelleborgs FF	0-1 L	1-2 L
Eskilsminne IF	2-4 L	2-0 W
Ariana FC Malmo	0-0 D	2-0 W
Kristianstad FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Atvidabergs FF	1-2 L	2-0 W
Utsiktens BK	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hässleholms IF (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tvååkers IF

DLWWDWDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	2-4	2	1	L
20/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
17/09	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	2-4	3	6	L
12/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
06/09	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
29/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	1	1	D
22/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-3	2	2	W
15/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
08/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
01/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	5	2	D

Hässleholms IF

WWWWWWLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
20/09	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
16/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
12/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	8	7	L
05/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
29/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
24/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	0	5	W
14/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-0	2	4	W
08/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
01/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tvååkers IF vs Hässleholms IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hässleholms IF win (42%). Probabilities: Tvååkers IF 32%, draw 26%, Hässleholms IF 42%.

How many goals are expected in Tvååkers IF vs Hässleholms IF?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Tvååkers IF 1.34 · Hässleholms IF 1.58), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tvååkers IF vs Hässleholms IF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.