Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: IFK Trelleborg vs Linero IF

Team pages: IFK Trelleborg · Linero IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

IFK Trelleborg2.16

Linero IF1.41

1X2

54% 22% 24%

IFK Trelleborg Draw Linero IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Trelleborg 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWLWWWWW

Linero IF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLLWLW

Head-to-head

IFK Trelleborg 1–2 Linero IF (3 last)

Linero IF2-1IFK Trelleborg
IFK Trelleborg2-1Linero IF
Linero IF2-1IFK Trelleborg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Trelleborg 1574 · Linero IF 1480

	IFK Trelleborg	Draw	Linero IF
Our model	54%	22%	24%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Trelleborg (rating 1574 vs 1480).
H2H favours Linero IF: 2-0-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Trelleborg	Linero IF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.8	1.7 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.8	3.1 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:05 +5’	1.67	4.00	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Trelleborg 1–0–2 Linero IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Linero IF	2-1 HT 1-0	IFK Trelleborg
29/09/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Trelleborg	2-1 HT 2-0	Linero IF
29/03/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Linero IF	2-1 HT 1-1	IFK Trelleborg

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	19	14	3	2	51	19	45
2	Oskarshamns AIK	19	12	3	4	47	21	39
3	IFK Trelleborg	19	11	5	3	36	16	38
4	IFK Berga	19	9	4	6	39	28	31
5	Linero IF	19	10	1	8	35	33	31
6	Nosaby	19	8	5	6	36	33	29
7	Växjö Norra	19	8	5	6	26	28	29
8	Osterlen FF	19	7	4	8	25	29	25
9	Sölvesborgs GoIF	19	7	1	11	28	32	22
10	Lilla Torg FF	19	5	7	7	22	31	22
11	Staffanstorp United	19	4	7	8	29	34	19
12	Torns IF	19	6	0	13	26	53	18
13	Räppe GOIF	19	3	5	11	19	39	14
14	IFK Karlshamn	19	3	2	14	21	44	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Trelleborg	Linero IF
Torns IF	2-1 W	1-2 L
Nosaby	3-0 W	0-4 L
IFK Karlshamn	5-1 W	3-1 W
IFK Berga	1-3 L	1-0 W
Räppe GOIF	1-0 W	5-1 W
Oskarshamns AIK	1-1 D	1-7 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Trelleborg (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Trelleborg

DWDWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
23/08	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
18/08	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	3-0	10	5	W
15/08	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	5-1	4	0	W
09/08	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	4-0	5	5	W
02/08	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-3	7	4	L
17/06	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-1	10	2	W
13/06	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
06/06	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
30/05	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

Linero IF

LWLDWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
22/08	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-4	1-7	–	–	L
16/08	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-1	5-1	10	1	W
08/08	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-3	0-4	5	5	L
01/08	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
28/06	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	3-1	7	0	W
18/06	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	3-3	5	2	D
14/06	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-4	3	3	L
06/06	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
29/05	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-2	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Trelleborg vs Linero IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Trelleborg win (54%). Probabilities: IFK Trelleborg 54%, draw 22%, Linero IF 24%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Trelleborg vs Linero IF?

The model expects 3.56 goals (IFK Trelleborg 2.16 · Linero IF 1.41), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Trelleborg vs Linero IF?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.