Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: Växjö Norra vs Lilla Torg FF

Team pages: Växjö Norra · Lilla Torg FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Växjö Norra2.09

Lilla Torg FF1.19

1X2

57% 23% 20%

Växjö Norra Draw Lilla Torg FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Växjö Norra 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLLWLLWW

Lilla Torg FF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWLDLLWW

Head-to-head

Växjö Norra 0–1–0 Lilla Torg FF (1 last)

Lilla Torg FF1-1Växjö Norra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Växjö Norra 1462 · Lilla Torg FF 1492

	Växjö Norra	Draw	Lilla Torg FF
Our model	57%	23%	20%
Market	57%	23%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Växjö Norra	Lilla Torg FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.6	1.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.4	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.90

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.59 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:19 +33’	1.57	3.90	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:12 +16’	1.59	3.82	4.23

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Växjö Norra 0–1–0 Lilla Torg FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Lilla Torg FF	1-1 HT 1-1	Växjö Norra

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	20	15	3	2	53	19	48
2	Oskarshamns AIK	20	12	3	5	48	23	39
3	IFK Trelleborg	20	11	5	4	37	18	38
4	Linero IF	20	11	1	8	37	34	34
5	Nosaby	20	9	5	6	38	34	32
6	Växjö Norra	20	9	5	6	29	29	32
7	IFK Berga	20	9	4	7	40	31	31
8	Osterlen FF	20	8	4	8	31	29	28
9	Sölvesborgs GoIF	20	8	1	11	31	34	25
10	Lilla Torg FF	20	6	7	7	25	32	25
11	Staffanstorp United	20	4	7	9	29	36	19
12	Torns IF	20	6	0	14	27	56	18
13	Räppe GOIF	20	3	5	12	21	42	14
14	IFK Karlshamn	20	3	2	15	21	50	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Växjö Norra	Lilla Torg FF
Torns IF	3-1 W	4-0 W
FK Karlskrona	0-5 L	1-4 L
Staffanstorp United	2-0 W	1-1 D
IFK Trelleborg	0-4 L	0-2 L
IFK Berga	1-3 L	3-1 W
Oskarshamns AIK	0-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Lilla Torg FF (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Växjö Norra

DDLLLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
30/08	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
25/08	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	1-2	6	6	L
22/08	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-3	0-5	8	1	L
16/08	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
09/08	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-4	1	5	L
26/06	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-2	1-3	4	7	L
17/06	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-2	8	5	L
13/06	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
07/06	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	2-2	8	2	D

Lilla Torg FF

LDDWLDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	3-1	4	3	W
29/08	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	3-1	9	3	W
23/08	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
15/08	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-4	1-4	–	–	L
08/08	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
02/08	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-2	2-3	4	7	L
24/06	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	4-0	7	0	W
17/06	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	3-3	4	9	D
12/06	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
07/06	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Växjö Norra vs Lilla Torg FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Växjö Norra win (57%). Probabilities: Växjö Norra 57%, draw 23%, Lilla Torg FF 20%.

How many goals are expected in Växjö Norra vs Lilla Torg FF?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Växjö Norra 2.09 · Lilla Torg FF 1.19), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Växjö Norra vs Lilla Torg FF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.