Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: Linero IF vs Staffanstorp United

Team pages: Linero IF · Staffanstorp United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

Linero IF1.84

Staffanstorp United1.56

1X2

44% 25% 32%

Linero IF Draw Staffanstorp United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Linero IF 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLWLWW

Staffanstorp United 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDDWLDLDLL

Head-to-head

Linero IF 0–1–0 Staffanstorp United (1 last)

Staffanstorp United3-3Linero IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Linero IF 1507 · Staffanstorp United 1460

	Linero IF	Draw	Staffanstorp United
Our model	44%	24%	32%
Market	43%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linero IF (rating 1507 vs 1460).
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Linero IF	Staffanstorp United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.3	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.8	2.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.60

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 2.05▲	Pinn 2.13
X	3.90 → 3.60▼	Pinn 3.82 ★
2	4.10 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:19 +34’	1.61	3.90	4.10
01:23 +6’	2.05▲	3.60▼	2.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +15’	2.13	3.82	2.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Linero IF 0–1–0 Staffanstorp United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Staffanstorp United	3-3 HT 1-1	Linero IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	20	15	3	2	53	19	48
2	Oskarshamns AIK	20	12	3	5	48	23	39
3	IFK Trelleborg	20	11	5	4	37	18	38
4	Linero IF	20	11	1	8	37	34	34
5	Nosaby	20	9	5	6	38	34	32
6	Växjö Norra	20	9	5	6	29	29	32
7	IFK Berga	20	9	4	7	40	31	31
8	Osterlen FF	20	8	4	8	31	29	28
9	Sölvesborgs GoIF	20	8	1	11	31	34	25
10	Lilla Torg FF	20	6	7	7	25	32	25
11	Staffanstorp United	20	4	7	9	29	36	19
12	Torns IF	20	6	0	14	27	56	18
13	Räppe GOIF	20	3	5	12	21	42	14
14	IFK Karlshamn	20	3	2	15	21	50	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Linero IF	Staffanstorp United
Oskarshamns AIK	1-7 L	1-2 L
Räppe GOIF	5-1 W	4-1 W
FK Karlskrona	2-4 L	0-2 L
IFK Berga	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Linero IF (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Linero IF

WLDWLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
28/08	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
22/08	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-4	1-7	–	–	L
16/08	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-1	5-1	10	1	W
08/08	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-3	0-4	5	5	L
01/08	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
28/06	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	3-1	7	0	W
18/06	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	3-3	5	2	D
14/06	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-4	3	3	L
06/06	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-0	3	1	W

Staffanstorp United

DDDWLDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
29/08	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
22/08	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
16/08	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
08/08	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
03/08	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
27/06	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	4-1	8	2	W
18/06	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	3-3	6	2	D
12/06	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
07/06	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-2	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Linero IF vs Staffanstorp United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Linero IF win (44%). Probabilities: Linero IF 44%, draw 25%, Staffanstorp United 32%.

How many goals are expected in Linero IF vs Staffanstorp United?

The model expects 3.4 goals (Linero IF 1.84 · Staffanstorp United 1.56), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Linero IF vs Staffanstorp United?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.