Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 06/09, 13:00

Prediction: Staffanstorp United vs FK Karlskrona

Team pages: Staffanstorp United · FK Karlskrona

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Staffanstorp United1.2

FK Karlskrona2.05

1X2

21% 22% 57%

Staffanstorp United Draw FK Karlskrona

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Staffanstorp United 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

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FK Karlskrona 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Staffanstorp United 0–1–0 FK Karlskrona (1 last)

FK Karlskrona1-1Staffanstorp United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Staffanstorp United 1470 · FK Karlskrona 1582

	Staffanstorp United	Draw	FK Karlskrona
Our model	21%	23%	56%
Market	22%	21%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Karlskrona (rating 1470 vs 1582).
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Staffanstorp United	FK Karlskrona
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	3.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	1.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	4.4 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	1.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.10

X4.20

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:58 +6’	4.10	4.20	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Staffanstorp United 0–1–0 FK Karlskrona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	FK Karlskrona	1-1 HT 1-0	Staffanstorp United

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	19	14	3	2	51	19	45
2	Oskarshamns AIK	19	12	3	4	47	21	39
3	IFK Trelleborg	19	11	5	3	36	16	38
4	IFK Berga	19	9	4	6	39	28	31
5	Linero IF	19	10	1	8	35	33	31
6	Nosaby	19	8	5	6	36	33	29
7	Växjö Norra	19	8	5	6	26	28	29
8	Osterlen FF	19	7	4	8	25	29	25
9	Sölvesborgs GoIF	19	7	1	11	28	32	22
10	Lilla Torg FF	19	5	7	7	22	31	22
11	Staffanstorp United	19	4	7	8	29	34	19
12	Torns IF	19	6	0	13	26	53	18
13	Räppe GOIF	19	3	5	11	19	39	14
14	IFK Karlshamn	19	3	2	14	21	44	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Staffanstorp United	FK Karlskrona
IFK Berga	1-1 D	4-1 W
Växjö Norra	0-2 L	5-0 W
Lilla Torg FF	1-1 D	4-1 W
Torns IF	0-2 L	5-0 W
Linero IF	3-3 D	4-2 W
Osterlen FF	1-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Karlskrona (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Staffanstorp United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
22/08	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
16/08	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
08/08	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
03/08	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
27/06	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	4-1	8	2	W
18/06	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	3-3	6	2	D
12/06	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
07/06	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
30/05	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-3	–	–	L

FK Karlskrona

DLWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	4-1	6	0	W
22/08	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-0	5-0	4	1	W
15/08	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	4-0	4-1	–	–	W
08/08	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	5-0	–	–	W
30/07	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	5-1	5	3	W
27/06	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-0	3-0	3	1	W
18/06	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	3-1	15	2	W
14/06	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	4-2	10	3	W
06/06	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-3	11	2	L
31/05	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-1	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Staffanstorp United vs FK Karlskrona?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Karlskrona win (57%). Probabilities: Staffanstorp United 21%, draw 22%, FK Karlskrona 57%.

How many goals are expected in Staffanstorp United vs FK Karlskrona?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Staffanstorp United 1.2 · FK Karlskrona 2.05), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Staffanstorp United vs FK Karlskrona?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.