Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 12/09, 14:00

Prediction: Oskarshamns AIK vs Räppe GOIF

Team pages: Oskarshamns AIK · Räppe GOIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Oskarshamns AIK2.59

Räppe GOIF1.03

1X2

70% 18% 12%

Oskarshamns AIK Draw Räppe GOIF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Oskarshamns AIK 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Räppe GOIF 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Oskarshamns AIK 1–1 Räppe GOIF (2 last)

Räppe GOIF1-0Oskarshamns AIK
Räppe GOIF2-4Oskarshamns AIK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oskarshamns AIK 1556 · Räppe GOIF 1421

	Oskarshamns AIK	Draw	Räppe GOIF
Our model	70%	18%	12%
Market	70%	18%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oskarshamns AIK (rating 1556 vs 1421).
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oskarshamns AIK	Räppe GOIF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.9	1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.1	1 / 2.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)2.00

2 (+1.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:42 +24’	1.28	5.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oskarshamns AIK 1–0–1 Räppe GOIF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Räppe GOIF	1-0 HT 0-0	Oskarshamns AIK
03/07/22 Sweden Cup Qualification	Räppe GOIF	2-4 HT 0-3	Oskarshamns AIK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	20	15	3	2	53	19	48
2	Oskarshamns AIK	20	12	3	5	48	23	39
3	IFK Trelleborg	20	11	5	4	37	18	38
4	Linero IF	20	11	1	8	37	34	34
5	Nosaby	20	9	5	6	38	34	32
6	Växjö Norra	20	9	5	6	29	29	32
7	IFK Berga	20	9	4	7	40	31	31
8	Osterlen FF	20	8	4	8	31	29	28
9	Sölvesborgs GoIF	20	8	1	11	31	34	25
10	Lilla Torg FF	20	6	7	7	25	32	25
11	Staffanstorp United	20	4	7	9	29	36	19
12	Torns IF	20	6	0	14	27	56	18
13	Räppe GOIF	20	3	5	12	21	42	14
14	IFK Karlshamn	20	3	2	15	21	50	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oskarshamns AIK	Räppe GOIF
Staffanstorp United	2-1 W	1-4 L
Linero IF	7-1 W	1-5 L
Osterlen FF	3-0 W	1-1 D
IFK Karlshamn	5-0 W	2-2 D
Lilla Torg FF	3-2 W	1-3 L
Sölvesborgs GoIF	0-1 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Oskarshamns AIK (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oskarshamns AIK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-2	9	2	L
29/08	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
22/08	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	4-0	7-1	–	–	W
16/08	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	3-0	7	4	W
08/08	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	5-0	12	0	W
02/08	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-1	3-2	1	7	W
27/06	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
17/06	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
12/06	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
07/06	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	6	4	D

Räppe GOIF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-3	3	3	L
22/08	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	0	4	D
16/08	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-3	1-5	0	1	L
07/08	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-3	4	1	L
31/07	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-2	2	3	D
27/06	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	1-4	2	2	L
18/06	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
12/06	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
06/06	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-1	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oskarshamns AIK vs Räppe GOIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oskarshamns AIK win (70%). Probabilities: Oskarshamns AIK 70%, draw 18%, Räppe GOIF 12%.

How many goals are expected in Oskarshamns AIK vs Räppe GOIF?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Oskarshamns AIK 2.59 · Räppe GOIF 1.03), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Oskarshamns AIK vs Räppe GOIF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.