Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: BK Forward vs IK Sleipner

Team pages: BK Forward · IK Sleipner

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

BK Forward1.66

IK Sleipner1.55

1X2

40% 25% 35%

BK Forward Draw IK Sleipner

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

BK Forward 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWLLLWWD

IK Sleipner 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWLD

Head-to-head

BK Forward 2–1–2 IK Sleipner (5 last)

IK Sleipner1-1BK Forward
IK Sleipner3-1BK Forward
BK Forward0-1IK Sleipner
BK Forward4-0IK Sleipner
IK Sleipner1-3BK Forward

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Forward 1525 · IK Sleipner 1537

	BK Forward	Draw	IK Sleipner
Our model	40%	25%	35%
Market	40%	25%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Forward	IK Sleipner
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	2.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.2	3.6 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.4	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.60

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:18 +5’	2.25	3.60	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Forward 2–1–2 IK Sleipner

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IK Sleipner	1-1 HT 1-1	BK Forward
03/08/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IK Sleipner	3-1 HT 0-1	BK Forward
26/04/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	BK Forward	0-1 HT 0-0	IK Sleipner
22/10/16 Sweden 1.div Norra	BK Forward	4-0 HT 1-0	IK Sleipner
19/06/16 Sweden 1.div Norra	IK Sleipner	1-3 HT 0-1	BK Forward

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Sleipner	23	13	5	5	48	35	44
2	FOC Farsta	23	13	4	6	47	25	43
3	BK Forward	23	13	4	6	44	28	43
4	Nykopings BIS	23	13	3	7	38	22	42
5	IFK Haninge	23	13	3	7	56	43	42
6	Ragsveds IF	23	10	6	7	42	36	36
7	Smedby AIS	23	10	5	8	40	32	35
8	Fittja IF	23	10	3	10	36	36	33
9	Karlslunds IF FK	23	7	7	9	33	37	28
10	Örebro Syrianska IF	23	8	3	12	25	27	27
11	Nacka FC	23	7	3	13	25	41	24
12	Syrianska FC	23	6	5	12	33	50	23
13	Lindö FF	23	6	2	15	30	45	20
14	IF Eker Örebro	23	4	3	16	28	68	15
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Forward	IK Sleipner
Karlslunds IF FK	2-2 D	4-2 W
Lindö FF	2-0 W	2-1 W
FOC Farsta	1-2 L	0-0 D
Nacka FC	0-1 L	1-0 W
Syrianska FC	5-0 W	1-3 L
Örebro Syrianska IF	1-1 D	3-1 W
Nykopings BIS	1-0 W	0-1 L
Ragsveds IF	2-1 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IK Sleipner (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Forward

WWDWLLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	2-2	6	6	D
19/09	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/09	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
06/09	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-3	1-3	7	3	L
22/08	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
16/08	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-0	5-0	9	2	W
08/08	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
02/08	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
28/06	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-1	4	1	W

IK Sleipner

LWLWWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
20/09	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-3	10	1	L
12/09	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
05/09	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	7-1	–	–	W
22/08	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	4-0	6	5	W
13/08	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
09/08	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	4-2	8	1	W
27/06	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-3	1-6	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Forward vs IK Sleipner?

According to our model, the most likely result is a BK Forward win (40%). Probabilities: BK Forward 40%, draw 25%, IK Sleipner 35%.

How many goals are expected in BK Forward vs IK Sleipner?

The model expects 3.22 goals (BK Forward 1.66 · IK Sleipner 1.55), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Forward vs IK Sleipner?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.