Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 10/10, 17:00
Prediction: Syrianska FC vs FOC Farsta
Team pages: Syrianska FC · FOC Farsta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
Syrianska FC1.36
FOC Farsta1.93
1X2
Syrianska FC
Draw
FOC Farsta
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Syrianska FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FOC Farsta
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Syrianska FC
3–2
FOC Farsta
(5 last)
- FOC Farsta2-1Syrianska FC
- Syrianska FC2-1FOC Farsta
- FOC Farsta2-1Syrianska FC
- Syrianska FC3-0FOC Farsta
- FOC Farsta1-3Syrianska FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Syrianska FC 1500 · FOC Farsta 1564
| Syrianska FC | Draw | FOC Farsta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| Market | 27% | 23% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FOC Farsta (rating 1500 vs 1564).
- H2H favours Syrianska FC: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Syrianska FC | FOC Farsta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 2.9 | 1.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.4 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Syrianska FC 3–0–2 FOC Farsta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | FOC Farsta | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Syrianska FC |
| 17/08/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Syrianska FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | FOC Farsta |
| 29/03/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | FOC Farsta | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Syrianska FC |
| 07/10/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Syrianska FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | FOC Farsta |
| 22/06/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | FOC Farsta | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Syrianska FC |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FOC Farsta | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 26 | 46 |
| 2 | IK Sleipner | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 36 | 45 |
| 3 | BK Forward | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 29 | 44 |
| 4 | Nykopings BIS | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 43 |
| 5 | IFK Haninge | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 58 | 45 | 43 |
| 6 | Ragsveds IF | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 37 | 39 |
| 7 | Smedby AIS | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 36 |
| 8 | Fittja IF | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 33 |
| 9 | Karlslunds IF FK | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 38 | 31 |
| 10 | Örebro Syrianska IF | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 29 | 28 |
| 11 | Syrianska FC | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 52 | 26 |
| 12 | Nacka FC | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 26 | 45 | 24 |
| 13 | Lindö FF | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 32 | 50 | 20 |
| 14 | IF Eker Örebro | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 71 | 15 |
| 15 | IF Sylvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Syrianska FC | FOC Farsta |
|---|---|---|
| Nykopings BIS | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| IK Sleipner | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| IFK Haninge | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Fittja IF | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Karlslunds IF FK | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Smedby AIS | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| BK Forward | 0-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Ragsveds IF | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FOC Farsta (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Syrianska FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
4-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 14/09 | IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
FOC Farsta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 27/09 | IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 31/07 | Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Syrianska FC vs FOC Farsta?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FOC Farsta win (50%). Probabilities: Syrianska FC 26%, draw 23%, FOC Farsta 50%.
How many goals are expected in Syrianska FC vs FOC Farsta?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Syrianska FC 1.36 · FOC Farsta 1.93), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Syrianska FC vs FOC Farsta?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.