Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 11/10, 13:00
Prediction: Nykopings BIS vs Karlslunds IF FK
Team pages: Nykopings BIS · Karlslunds IF FK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Nykopings BIS2.13
Karlslunds IF FK0.97
1X2
Nykopings BIS
Draw
Karlslunds IF FK
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Nykopings BIS
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Karlslunds IF FK
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nykopings BIS
5–1–0
Karlslunds IF FK
(6 last)
- Karlslunds IF FK0-1Nykopings BIS
- Karlslunds IF FK0-2Nykopings BIS
- Nykopings BIS4-2Karlslunds IF FK
- Nykopings BIS2-0Karlslunds IF FK
- Karlslunds IF FK0-3Nykopings BIS
- Nykopings BIS1-1Karlslunds IF FK
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nykopings BIS 1514 · Karlslunds IF FK 1535
| Nykopings BIS | Draw | Karlslunds IF FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 20% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nykopings BIS: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nykopings BIS | Karlslunds IF FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 2.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.5 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nykopings BIS 5–1–0 Karlslunds IF FK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Karlslunds IF FK | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Nykopings BIS |
| 03/09/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Karlslunds IF FK | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Nykopings BIS |
| 07/05/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Nykopings BIS | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Karlslunds IF FK |
| 21/08/21 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Nykopings BIS | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Karlslunds IF FK |
| 11/07/21 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Karlslunds IF FK | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Nykopings BIS |
| 19/09/20 Sweden 1.div Norra | Nykopings BIS | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Karlslunds IF FK |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FOC Farsta | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 51 | 27 | 49 |
| 2 | IK Sleipner | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 36 | 45 |
| 3 | BK Forward | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 29 | 44 |
| 4 | Nykopings BIS | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 43 |
| 5 | IFK Haninge | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 43 |
| 6 | Ragsveds IF | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 40 | 42 |
| 7 | Smedby AIS | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 37 | 36 |
| 8 | Fittja IF | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 33 |
| 9 | Karlslunds IF FK | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 38 | 31 |
| 10 | Örebro Syrianska IF | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| 11 | Nacka FC | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 49 | 27 |
| 12 | Syrianska FC | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 54 | 26 |
| 13 | Lindö FF | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 33 | 52 | 20 |
| 14 | IF Eker Örebro | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 71 | 15 |
| 15 | IF Sylvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nykopings BIS | Karlslunds IF FK |
|---|---|---|
| Smedby AIS | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Syrianska FC | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Örebro Syrianska IF | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| IF Eker Örebro | 3-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Lindö FF | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| IFK Haninge | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| FOC Farsta | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| IK Sleipner | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| BK Forward | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nykopings BIS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 14/08 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Karlslunds IF FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
4-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nykopings BIS vs Karlslunds IF FK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nykopings BIS win (63%). Probabilities: Nykopings BIS 63%, draw 21%, Karlslunds IF FK 16%.
How many goals are expected in Nykopings BIS vs Karlslunds IF FK?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Nykopings BIS 2.13 · Karlslunds IF FK 0.97), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nykopings BIS vs Karlslunds IF FK?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.