Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 10/10, 16:00
Prediction: Ragsveds IF vs Smedby AIS
Team pages: Ragsveds IF · Smedby AIS
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Ragsveds IF1.76
Smedby AIS1.11
1X2
Ragsveds IF
Draw
Smedby AIS
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Ragsveds IF
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Smedby AIS
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ragsveds IF
4–1
Smedby AIS
(5 last)
- Smedby AIS0-2Ragsveds IF
- Smedby AIS1-2Ragsveds IF
- Ragsveds IF4-1Smedby AIS
- Ragsveds IF2-1Smedby AIS
- Smedby AIS3-1Ragsveds IF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ragsveds IF 1535 · Smedby AIS 1480
| Ragsveds IF | Draw | Smedby AIS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 23% |
| Market | 53% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ragsveds IF (rating 1535 vs 1480).
- H2H favours Ragsveds IF: 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ragsveds IF | Smedby AIS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ragsveds IF 4–0–1 Smedby AIS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Smedby AIS | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ragsveds IF |
| 02/08/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Smedby AIS | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Ragsveds IF |
| 17/05/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Ragsveds IF | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Smedby AIS |
| 09/09/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Ragsveds IF | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Smedby AIS |
| 13/05/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Smedby AIS | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Ragsveds IF |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FOC Farsta | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 51 | 27 | 49 |
| 2 | IK Sleipner | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 36 | 45 |
| 3 | BK Forward | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 29 | 44 |
| 4 | Nykopings BIS | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 43 |
| 5 | IFK Haninge | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 43 |
| 6 | Ragsveds IF | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 40 | 42 |
| 7 | Smedby AIS | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 37 | 36 |
| 8 | Fittja IF | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 33 |
| 9 | Karlslunds IF FK | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 38 | 31 |
| 10 | Örebro Syrianska IF | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| 11 | Nacka FC | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 49 | 27 |
| 12 | Syrianska FC | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 54 | 26 |
| 13 | Lindö FF | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 33 | 52 | 20 |
| 14 | IF Eker Örebro | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 71 | 15 |
| 15 | IF Sylvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ragsveds IF | Smedby AIS |
|---|---|---|
| IF Eker Örebro | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Örebro Syrianska IF | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Nacka FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| IFK Haninge | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Nykopings BIS | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Fittja IF | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Syrianska FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| FOC Farsta | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ragsveds IF (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ragsveds IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
Smedby AIS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 27/09 | IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 29/08 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ragsveds IF vs Smedby AIS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ragsveds IF win (52%). Probabilities: Ragsveds IF 52%, draw 25%, Smedby AIS 23%.
How many goals are expected in Ragsveds IF vs Smedby AIS?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Ragsveds IF 1.76 · Smedby AIS 1.11), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ragsveds IF vs Smedby AIS?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.