Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 10/10, 16:00
Prediction: IFK Haninge vs Nacka FC
Team pages: IFK Haninge · Nacka FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.87Total
IFK Haninge2.42
Nacka FC1.45
1X2
IFK Haninge
Draw
Nacka FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
IFK Haninge
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Nacka FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IFK Haninge
4–1–0
Nacka FC
(5 last)
- Nacka FC1-5IFK Haninge
- IFK Haninge4-1Nacka FC
- Nacka FC1-4IFK Haninge
- Nacka FC1-2IFK Haninge
- IFK Haninge1-1Nacka FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IFK Haninge 1502 · Nacka FC 1510
| IFK Haninge | Draw | Nacka FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 20% | 21% |
| Market | 58% | 21% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours IFK Haninge: 4-1-0.
- High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IFK Haninge | Nacka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.4 | 3.9 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Haninge 4–1–0 Nacka FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Nacka FC | 1-5 HT 0-2 | IFK Haninge |
| 20/10/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | IFK Haninge | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Nacka FC |
| 14/06/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Nacka FC | 1-4 HT 1-0 | IFK Haninge |
| 30/07/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Nacka FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | IFK Haninge |
| 09/04/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | IFK Haninge | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Nacka FC |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FOC Farsta | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 51 | 27 | 49 |
| 2 | IK Sleipner | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 36 | 45 |
| 3 | BK Forward | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 29 | 44 |
| 4 | Nykopings BIS | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 43 |
| 5 | IFK Haninge | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 43 |
| 6 | Ragsveds IF | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 40 | 42 |
| 7 | Smedby AIS | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 37 | 36 |
| 8 | Fittja IF | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 33 |
| 9 | Karlslunds IF FK | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 38 | 31 |
| 10 | Örebro Syrianska IF | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
| 11 | Nacka FC | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 49 | 27 |
| 12 | Syrianska FC | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 54 | 26 |
| 13 | Lindö FF | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 33 | 52 | 20 |
| 14 | IF Eker Örebro | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 71 | 15 |
| 15 | IF Sylvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IFK Haninge | Nacka FC |
|---|---|---|
| Örebro Syrianska IF | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Smedby AIS | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| IF Eker Örebro | 5-4 W | 4-0 W |
| Ragsveds IF | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Lindö FF | 6-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Karlslunds IF FK | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| FOC Farsta | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Fittja IF | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: IFK Haninge (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IFK Haninge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 27/09 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-2 | 5-4 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 04/09 | Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
3-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 15/08 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Nacka FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 28/08 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-0 | 16 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IFK Haninge vs Nacka FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Haninge win (58%). Probabilities: IFK Haninge 58%, draw 21%, Nacka FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in IFK Haninge vs Nacka FC?
The model expects 3.87 goals (IFK Haninge 2.42 · Nacka FC 1.45), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in IFK Haninge vs Nacka FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.