Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 11/10, 16:00

Prediction: IK Sleipner vs Fittja IF

Team pages: IK Sleipner · Fittja IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

IK Sleipner2.1

Fittja IF0.95

1X2

64% 21% 16%

IK Sleipner Draw Fittja IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Sleipner 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWLDD

Fittja IF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDLWLL

Head-to-head

IK Sleipner 1–0 Fittja IF (1 last)

Fittja IF1-2IK Sleipner

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Sleipner 1562 · Fittja IF 1474

	IK Sleipner	Draw	Fittja IF
Our model	63%	22%	15%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Sleipner (rating 1562 vs 1474).
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Sleipner	Fittja IF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7.1	1.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.60

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.60 → 4.60	Pinn 5.08
2	5.50 → 5.50	Pinn 7.51 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:51 +10’	1.40	4.60	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:13 +38’	1.32	4.71	6.32
09:42 +29’	1.27▼	4.96▲	7.23▲
14:00 +31’	1.28▲	5.08▲	7.51▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Sleipner 1–0–0 Fittja IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Fittja IF	1-2 HT 0-2	IK Sleipner

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FOC Farsta	25	15	4	6	51	27	49
2	IK Sleipner	24	13	6	5	49	36	45
3	BK Forward	24	13	5	6	45	29	44
4	Nykopings BIS	24	13	4	7	39	23	43
5	IFK Haninge	25	13	4	8	62	50	43
6	Ragsveds IF	25	12	6	7	49	40	42
7	Smedby AIS	25	10	6	9	44	37	36
8	Fittja IF	24	10	3	11	37	38	33
9	Karlslunds IF FK	24	8	7	9	37	38	31
10	Örebro Syrianska IF	25	9	4	12	29	30	31
11	Nacka FC	25	8	3	14	31	49	27
12	Syrianska FC	25	7	5	13	39	54	26
13	Lindö FF	25	6	2	17	33	52	20
14	IF Eker Örebro	24	4	3	17	29	71	15
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Sleipner	Fittja IF
BK Forward	1-1 D	1-2 L
FOC Farsta	0-0 D	1-2 L
Syrianska FC	1-3 L	0-0 D
Nacka FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Örebro Syrianska IF	3-1 W	0-1 L
IF Eker Örebro	7-1 W	2-0 W
Ragsveds IF	4-0 W	1-0 W
Lindö FF	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: IK Sleipner (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Sleipner

WLWWWWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-1	10	5	D
27/09	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
20/09	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-3	10	1	L
12/09	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
05/09	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	7-1	–	–	W
22/08	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	4-0	6	5	W
13/08	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
09/08	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	4-2	8	1	W

Fittja IF

LWWWLDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-2	4	8	L
26/09	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
13/09	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
06/09	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
23/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
16/08	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
09/08	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	3-2	4	5	W
02/08	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-2	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Sleipner vs Fittja IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Sleipner win (64%). Probabilities: IK Sleipner 64%, draw 21%, Fittja IF 16%.

How many goals are expected in IK Sleipner vs Fittja IF?

The model expects 3.05 goals (IK Sleipner 2.1 · Fittja IF 0.95), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Sleipner vs Fittja IF?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.