Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 02/10, 20:00

Prediction: FOC Farsta vs Fittja IF

Team pages: FOC Farsta · Fittja IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

FOC Farsta2.11

Fittja IF0.96

1X2

64% 21% 16%

FOC Farsta Draw Fittja IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FOC Farsta 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWWWLD

Fittja IF 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLDLWL

Head-to-head

FOC Farsta 0–1 Fittja IF (1 last)

Fittja IF3-2FOC Farsta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FOC Farsta 1554 · Fittja IF 1501

	FOC Farsta	Draw	Fittja IF
Our model	63%	22%	15%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FOC Farsta (rating 1554 vs 1501).
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FOC Farsta	Fittja IF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.9	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.7	1.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.60

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.60 → 4.60	Bet365 4.60
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:09 +4’	1.40	4.60	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FOC Farsta 0–0–1 Fittja IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Fittja IF	3-2 HT 2-1	FOC Farsta

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Sleipner	23	13	5	5	48	35	44
2	FOC Farsta	23	13	4	6	47	25	43
3	BK Forward	23	13	4	6	44	28	43
4	Nykopings BIS	23	13	3	7	38	22	42
5	IFK Haninge	23	13	3	7	56	43	42
6	Ragsveds IF	23	10	6	7	42	36	36
7	Smedby AIS	23	10	5	8	40	32	35
8	Fittja IF	23	10	3	10	36	36	33
9	Karlslunds IF FK	23	7	7	9	33	37	28
10	Örebro Syrianska IF	23	8	3	12	25	27	27
11	Nacka FC	23	7	3	13	25	41	24
12	Syrianska FC	23	6	5	12	33	50	23
13	Lindö FF	23	6	2	15	30	45	20
14	IF Eker Örebro	23	4	3	16	28	68	15
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FOC Farsta	Fittja IF
Karlslunds IF FK	0-3 L	2-2 D
Smedby AIS	3-0 W	1-0 W
BK Forward	2-1 W	1-2 L
Nacka FC	4-1 W	1-2 L
Örebro Syrianska IF	2-0 W	0-1 L
IFK Haninge	2-2 D	0-2 L
Ragsveds IF	1-1 D	1-0 W
IF Eker Örebro	4-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FOC Farsta (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FOC Farsta

WDDWWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
19/09	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
12/09	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	3-0	2	1	W
06/09	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
28/08	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	4-1	2	4	W
23/08	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
14/08	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
08/08	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
31/07	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
27/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	4-1	–	–	W

Fittja IF

DLWWWLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
13/09	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
06/09	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
23/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
16/08	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
09/08	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	3-2	4	5	W
02/08	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
28/06	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	2-2	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FOC Farsta vs Fittja IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FOC Farsta win (64%). Probabilities: FOC Farsta 64%, draw 21%, Fittja IF 16%.

How many goals are expected in FOC Farsta vs Fittja IF?

The model expects 3.07 goals (FOC Farsta 2.11 · Fittja IF 0.96), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FOC Farsta vs Fittja IF?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.