Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 02/10, 19:00
Prediction: Smedby AIS vs Nykopings BIS
Team pages: Smedby AIS · Nykopings BIS
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Smedby AIS1.18
Nykopings BIS1.41
1X2
Smedby AIS
Draw
Nykopings BIS
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Smedby AIS
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Nykopings BIS
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Smedby AIS
3–1–2
Nykopings BIS
(6 last)
- Nykopings BIS0-1Smedby AIS
- Smedby AIS2-2Nykopings BIS
- Nykopings BIS0-1Smedby AIS
- Smedby AIS5-1Nykopings BIS
- Nykopings BIS2-1Smedby AIS
- Nykopings BIS3-0Smedby AIS
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Smedby AIS 1499 · Nykopings BIS 1501
| Smedby AIS | Draw | Nykopings BIS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 29% | 41% |
| Market | 32% | 25% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Smedby AIS: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Smedby AIS | Nykopings BIS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 3.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Smedby AIS 3–1–2 Nykopings BIS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Nykopings BIS | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Smedby AIS |
| 19/09/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Smedby AIS | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Nykopings BIS |
| 16/06/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Nykopings BIS | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Smedby AIS |
| 05/08/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Smedby AIS | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Nykopings BIS |
| 07/04/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Nykopings BIS | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Smedby AIS |
| 01/10/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Nykopings BIS | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Smedby AIS |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IK Sleipner | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 35 | 44 |
| 2 | FOC Farsta | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 25 | 43 |
| 3 | BK Forward | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 28 | 43 |
| 4 | Nykopings BIS | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 22 | 42 |
| 5 | IFK Haninge | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 56 | 43 | 42 |
| 6 | Ragsveds IF | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 36 | 36 |
| 7 | Smedby AIS | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 32 | 35 |
| 8 | Fittja IF | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 33 |
| 9 | Karlslunds IF FK | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 37 | 28 |
| 10 | Örebro Syrianska IF | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 27 | 27 |
| 11 | Nacka FC | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 41 | 24 |
| 12 | Syrianska FC | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 50 | 23 |
| 13 | Lindö FF | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 30 | 45 | 20 |
| 14 | IF Eker Örebro | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 28 | 68 | 15 |
| 15 | IF Sylvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Smedby AIS | Nykopings BIS |
|---|---|---|
| IFK Haninge | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| FOC Farsta | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Nacka FC | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| BK Forward | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Syrianska FC | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| IF Eker Örebro | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Örebro Syrianska IF | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Lindö FF | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Nykopings BIS (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Smedby AIS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 29/08 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 24/06 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Nykopings BIS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 14/08 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/06 | Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Smedby AIS vs Nykopings BIS?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nykopings BIS win (42%). Probabilities: Smedby AIS 31%, draw 27%, Nykopings BIS 42%.
How many goals are expected in Smedby AIS vs Nykopings BIS?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Smedby AIS 1.18 · Nykopings BIS 1.41), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Smedby AIS vs Nykopings BIS?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.