Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: IK Tord vs Motala AIF FK

Team pages: IK Tord · Motala AIF FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

IK Tord1.19

Motala AIF FK1.41

1X2

32% 27% 42%

IK Tord Draw Motala AIF FK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IK Tord 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDDLLDLDWL

Motala AIF FK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLDWLDL

Head-to-head

IK Tord 1–2–0 Motala AIF FK (3 last)

Motala AIF FK1-1IK Tord
Motala AIF FK2-2IK Tord
IK Tord1-0Motala AIF FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Tord 1463 · Motala AIF FK 1460

	IK Tord	Draw	Motala AIF FK
Our model	31%	29%	41%
Market	32%	25%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Tord	Motala AIF FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.5	3.4 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:38 +17’	2.75	3.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Tord 1–2–0 Motala AIF FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Motala AIF FK	1-1 HT 0-0	IK Tord
01/08/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Motala AIF FK	2-2 HT 1-0	IK Tord
06/06/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IK Tord	1-0 HT 0-0	Motala AIF FK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	16	13	3	0	37	10	42
2	Skara	16	11	4	1	34	18	37
3	IFK Skövde FK	16	9	3	4	31	20	30
4	Grebbestads IF	16	9	2	5	30	22	29
5	Ahlafors IF	16	7	6	3	33	19	27
6	Herrestads AIF	16	6	5	5	30	31	23
7	Stenungsunds IF	16	6	4	6	28	24	22
8	IFK Kumla	16	5	5	6	17	19	20
9	Motala AIF FK	16	5	4	7	21	21	19
10	Vanersborgs FK	16	4	4	8	21	32	16
11	Lidköpings FK	16	3	3	10	17	35	12
12	IK Tord	16	1	8	7	19	29	11
13	IF Karlstad II	16	2	4	10	17	30	10
14	Vänersborgs IF	16	2	3	11	20	45	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Tord	Motala AIF FK
Herrestads AIF	2-3 L	0-1 L
IFK Kumla	2-0 W	0-0 D
IF Karlstad II	1-1 D	3-1 W
Husqvarna FF	1-1 D	0-1 L
Vanersborgs FK	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: IK Tord (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Tord

DDDLLDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-3	1	0	L
31/07	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
27/06	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
18/06	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
13/06	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
06/06	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
21/05	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
15/05	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
10/05	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	2-2	5	2	D
01/05	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	2-2	9	7	D

Motala AIF FK

LDLWLDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
01/08	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
27/06	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
21/06	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
11/06	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
07/06	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-1	8	1	L
31/05	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	2-0	7	1	W
23/05	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
17/05	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-1	7	0	D
09/05	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-3	0-4	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Tord vs Motala AIF FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Motala AIF FK win (42%). Probabilities: IK Tord 32%, draw 27%, Motala AIF FK 42%.

How many goals are expected in IK Tord vs Motala AIF FK?

The model expects 2.6 goals (IK Tord 1.19 · Motala AIF FK 1.41), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Tord vs Motala AIF FK?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.