Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 17/08, 19:30
Prediction: Vänersborgs IF vs Vanersborgs FK
Team pages: Vänersborgs IF · Vanersborgs FK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.64Total
Vänersborgs IF1.71
Vanersborgs FK1.93
1X2
Vänersborgs IF
Draw
Vanersborgs FK
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vänersborgs IF
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Vanersborgs FK
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vänersborgs IF
2–3–1
Vanersborgs FK
(6 last)
- Vanersborgs FK1-2Vänersborgs IF
- Vanersborgs FK1-1Vänersborgs IF
- Vänersborgs IF1-2Vanersborgs FK
- Vänersborgs IF1-1Vanersborgs FK
- Vanersborgs FK1-1Vänersborgs IF
- Vanersborgs FK1-2Vänersborgs IF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vänersborgs IF 1438 · Vanersborgs FK 1418
| Vänersborgs IF | Draw | Vanersborgs FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 23% | 43% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Vänersborgs IF: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vänersborgs IF | Vanersborgs FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.9 | 1.4 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vänersborgs IF 2–3–1 Vanersborgs FK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Vanersborgs FK | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Vänersborgs IF |
| 08/08/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Vanersborgs FK | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Vänersborgs IF |
| 02/06/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Vänersborgs IF | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Vanersborgs FK |
| 18/08/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Vänersborgs IF | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Vanersborgs FK |
| 20/04/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Vanersborgs FK | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Vänersborgs IF |
| 28/08/20 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Vanersborgs FK | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Vänersborgs IF |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna FF | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 38 | 10 | 45 |
| 2 | Skara | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 19 | 37 |
| 3 | IFK Skövde FK | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 31 |
| 4 | Ahlafors IF | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 30 |
| 5 | Grebbestads IF | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Stenungsunds IF | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 25 |
| 7 | Herrestads AIF | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 33 | 24 |
| 8 | Motala AIF FK | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 20 |
| 9 | IFK Kumla | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 20 |
| 10 | Vanersborgs FK | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 32 | 16 |
| 11 | Lidköpings FK | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 13 |
| 12 | IK Tord | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 12 |
| 13 | IF Karlstad II | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 11 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vänersborgs IF | Vanersborgs FK |
|---|---|---|
| Motala AIF FK | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| Stenungsunds IF | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Grebbestads IF | 3-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Herrestads AIF | 2-2 D | 2-4 L |
| Husqvarna FF | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vänersborgs IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 26/06 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 18/06 | Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
3-1 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/06 | Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 04/06 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-1 | 2-6 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
Vanersborgs FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | IK Kongahälla Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 05/06 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
3-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vänersborgs IF vs Vanersborgs FK?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vanersborgs FK win (42%). Probabilities: Vänersborgs IF 33%, draw 24%, Vanersborgs FK 42%.
How many goals are expected in Vänersborgs IF vs Vanersborgs FK?
The model expects 3.64 goals (Vänersborgs IF 1.71 · Vanersborgs FK 1.93), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vänersborgs IF vs Vanersborgs FK?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.