Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 21/08, 18:30

Prediction: IFK Kumla vs Husqvarna FF

Team pages: IFK Kumla · Husqvarna FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

IFK Kumla0.98

Husqvarna FF1.74

1X2

21% 24% 55%

IFK Kumla Draw Husqvarna FF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Kumla 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDDWLLWL

Husqvarna FF 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

IFK Kumla 0–1 Husqvarna FF (1 last)

Husqvarna FF3-1IFK Kumla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Kumla 1441 · Husqvarna FF 1632

	IFK Kumla	Draw	Husqvarna FF
Our model	20%	26%	54%
Market	22%	22%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Husqvarna FF (rating 1441 vs 1632).
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Kumla	Husqvarna FF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.7	2.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	3.4 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.10

X4.00

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75
X	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
2	1.60 → 1.50▼	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:11 +6’	4.10	4.00	1.60
23:01 +3’	4.75▲	4.20▲	1.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Kumla 0–0–1 Husqvarna FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Husqvarna FF	3-1 HT 1-1	IFK Kumla

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	17	14	3	0	38	10	45
2	Skara	17	11	4	2	34	19	37
3	IFK Skövde FK	17	9	4	4	33	22	31
4	Ahlafors IF	17	8	6	3	36	20	30
5	Grebbestads IF	17	9	2	6	31	25	29
6	Stenungsunds IF	17	7	4	6	33	24	25
7	Herrestads AIF	17	6	6	5	32	33	24
8	Motala AIF FK	17	5	5	7	22	22	20
9	IFK Kumla	17	5	5	7	17	24	20
10	Vanersborgs FK	17	5	4	8	23	32	19
11	Lidköpings FK	17	3	4	10	17	35	13
12	IK Tord	17	1	9	7	20	30	12
13	IF Karlstad II	17	2	5	10	17	30	11
14	Vänersborgs IF	17	2	3	12	20	47	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Kumla	Husqvarna FF
Stenungsunds IF	0-5 L	3-1 W
Grebbestads IF	1-2 L	2-1 W
Motala AIF FK	0-0 D	1-0 W
Skara	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Husqvarna FF (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

IFK Kumla

LLLDDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	0-5	1	1	L
08/08	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
31/07	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
24/06	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	1-2	1	3	L
18/06	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
11/06	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
07/06	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
30/05	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	1-2	10	2	L
22/05	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
14/05	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Husqvarna FF

WWWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
09/08	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
31/07	Växjö Norra Club Friendly List	1-0	3-1	8	1	W
01/07	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
27/06	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	3-1	10	0	W
18/06	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
14/06	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	3-1	10	0	W
10/06	Malmslatts AIK Sweden Cup Qualification	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
05/06	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
31/05	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	3-1	17	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Kumla vs Husqvarna FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Husqvarna FF win (55%). Probabilities: IFK Kumla 21%, draw 24%, Husqvarna FF 55%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Kumla vs Husqvarna FF?

The model expects 2.72 goals (IFK Kumla 0.98 · Husqvarna FF 1.74), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Kumla vs Husqvarna FF?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.