Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 22/07, 17:00

Prediction: FK Kokand 1912 vs AGMK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

FK Kokand 19121.32

AGMK1.32

1X2

35% 29% 35%

FK Kokand 1912 Draw AGMK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Kokand 1912 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDDDDLLWLL

AGMK 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDWDDWWW

Head-to-head

FK Kokand 1912 1–2–3 AGMK (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Kokand 1912 1477 · AGMK 1558

	FK Kokand 1912	Draw	AGMK
Our model	36%	29%	36%
Market	35%	30%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AGMK (rating 1477 vs 1558).
H2H favours AGMK: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Kokand 1912	AGMK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	2.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.6	3.1 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.4	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.00

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.15

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 18:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.55▼	Pinn 2.64 ★
X	3.10 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00
2	2.30 → 2.55▲	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 15.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:00 +6’	2.80	3.10	2.30
16:57 +7’	2.40▼	3.00▼	2.70▲
18:04 +1’	2.55▲	3.00	2.55▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:05	2.95	2.92	2.52
17:04 +1’	2.61▼	2.65▼	2.44▼
18:05	2.64▲	2.68▲	2.47▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kokand 1912 1–2–3 AGMK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Uzbekistan Cup	FK Kokand 1912	2-3 HT 1-1	AGMK
03/10/25 Uzbekistan PFL	AGMK	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Kokand 1912
10/05/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Kokand 1912	1-3 HT 1-0	AGMK
09/09/22 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Kokand 1912	0-0 HT 0-0	AGMK
27/04/22 Uzbekistan PFL	AGMK	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Kokand 1912
20/11/21 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Kokand 1912	2-2 HT 0-1	AGMK

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	12	10	1	1	27	4	31
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	12	8	3	1	23	13	27
3	FK Buxoro	12	6	2	4	16	13	20
4	Navbahor Namangan	12	6	2	4	16	11	20
5	FC Bunyodkor	12	6	1	5	14	14	19
6	AGMK	12	5	4	3	17	16	19
7	Lokomotiv Tashkent	12	5	3	4	15	15	18
8	Nasaf Qarshi	12	4	5	3	15	12	17
9	FK Andijan	12	5	1	6	17	13	16
10	Termez Surkhon	12	4	3	5	13	19	15
11	Dinamo Samarqand	12	4	2	6	19	22	14
12	Xorazm Urganch	12	3	4	5	9	15	13
13	Qizilqum Zarafshon	12	4	1	7	9	17	13
14	Sogdiana Jizzakh	12	3	3	6	21	25	12
15	FK Kokand 1912	12	2	5	5	10	16	11
16	Mashal Mubarek	12	1	0	11	5	21	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Kokand 1912	AGMK
Neftchi Fergana	0-4 L	0-0 D
FK Andijan	0-0 D	2-1 W
Navbahor Namangan	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: AGMK (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Kokand 1912

WDDDDLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
16/05	AGMK Uzbekistan Cup	1-1	2-3	5	2	L
03/05	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
29/04	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	0-4	1	4	L
24/04	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	1-2	1-2	2	7	L
19/04	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
14/04	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
08/04	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
02/04	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	2-2	7	7	D
18/03	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	2-1	2	5	W

AGMK

DWWDWDDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	1-2	3-2	7	4	W
20/05	FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan Cup	2-0	2-1	3	5	W
16/05	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan Cup	1-1	3-2	6	2	W
10/05	Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan Cup	2-0	3-3	7	5	D
03/05	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
27/04	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
23/04	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	2-2	5	4	D
17/04	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	2-2	3-2	11	6	W
12/04	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/04	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-1	7	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kokand 1912 vs AGMK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Kokand 1912 win (35%). Probabilities: FK Kokand 1912 35%, draw 29%, AGMK 35%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kokand 1912 vs AGMK?

The model expects 2.63 goals (FK Kokand 1912 1.32 · AGMK 1.32), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kokand 1912 vs AGMK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.