Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 05/09, 15:00

Prediction: FK Kokand 1912 vs Dinamo Samarqand

Team pages: FK Kokand 1912 · Dinamo Samarqand

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

FK Kokand 19121.18

Dinamo Samarqand1.21

1X2

34% 30% 35%

FK Kokand 1912 Draw Dinamo Samarqand

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Kokand 1912 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLDWWD

Dinamo Samarqand 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDLDWD

Head-to-head

FK Kokand 1912 0–3–3 Dinamo Samarqand (6 last)

Dinamo Samarqand3-2FK Kokand 1912
Dinamo Samarqand0-0FK Kokand 1912
FK Kokand 19122-3Dinamo Samarqand
FK Kokand 19120-0Dinamo Samarqand
Dinamo Samarqand3-3FK Kokand 1912
Dinamo Samarqand2-0FK Kokand 1912

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Samarqand (rating 1468 vs 1527).
H2H favours Dinamo Samarqand: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Kokand 1912	Dinamo Samarqand
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4.2	1.6 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.4	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.83

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:58

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.85 → 2.85	Pinn 2.85
X	3.04 → 3.04	Pinn 3.04
2	2.51 → 2.51	Pinn 2.51

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:57 +1’	2.85	3.04	2.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kokand 1912 0–3–3 Dinamo Samarqand

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/07/26 Uzbekistan PFL	Dinamo Samarqand	3-2 HT 2-1	FK Kokand 1912
21/11/25 Uzbekistan PFL	Dinamo Samarqand	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Kokand 1912
27/06/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Kokand 1912	2-3 HT 1-2	Dinamo Samarqand
09/10/23 Uzbekistan 1st Division	FK Kokand 1912	0-0 HT 0-0	Dinamo Samarqand
20/05/23 Uzbekistan 1st Division	Dinamo Samarqand	3-3 HT 1-1	FK Kokand 1912
12/11/22 Uzbekistan PFL	Dinamo Samarqand	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Kokand 1912

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	19	14	3	2	45	10	45
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	19	11	7	1	31	18	40
3	Navbahor Namangan	19	11	4	4	31	17	37
4	FK Buxoro	19	10	4	5	28	20	34
5	AGMK	20	9	5	6	28	25	32
6	Lokomotiv Tashkent	19	9	4	6	32	26	31
7	FK Andijan	19	8	3	8	24	20	27
8	Dinamo Samarqand	19	7	5	7	29	30	26
9	Nasaf Qarshi	19	6	7	6	20	18	25
10	Sogdiana Jizzakh	19	7	3	9	32	39	24
11	Qizilqum Zarafshon	19	7	2	10	17	26	23
12	Xorazm Urganch	20	5	5	10	17	29	20
13	Termez Surkhon	19	5	5	9	16	26	20
14	FK Kokand 1912	19	4	7	8	17	26	19
15	FC Bunyodkor	19	6	1	12	20	31	19
16	Mashal Mubarek	19	1	1	17	8	34	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Kokand 1912	Dinamo Samarqand
Lokomotiv Tashkent	2-1 W	1-2 L
Termez Surkhon	0-1 L	2-1 W
AGMK	1-4 L	1-0 W
Mashal Mubarek	0-1 L	3-1 W
Neftchi Fergana	0-4 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Samarqand (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Kokand 1912

LWLLLLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
20/08	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
15/08	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	2-1	2	2	W
08/08	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
03/08	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
29/07	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	1-2	2-3	7	4	L
22/07	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-4	6	3	L
17/07	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
03/05	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
29/04	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	0-4	1	4	L

Dinamo Samarqand

LWWWWDLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
19/08	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
14/08	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	2-2	8	1	D
07/08	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	1-2	1-2	3	0	L
03/08	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
29/07	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	2-1	3-2	1	4	W
23/07	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-1	0	5	W
18/07	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	2-1	1	0	W
02/05	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	3-1	3-1	6	4	W
28/04	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-2	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kokand 1912 vs Dinamo Samarqand?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dinamo Samarqand win (35%). Probabilities: FK Kokand 1912 34%, draw 30%, Dinamo Samarqand 35%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kokand 1912 vs Dinamo Samarqand?

The model expects 2.39 goals (FK Kokand 1912 1.18 · Dinamo Samarqand 1.21), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kokand 1912 vs Dinamo Samarqand?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.