Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 14/08, 11:30

Prediction: Keilor Park vs Whittlesea United

Team pages: Keilor Park · Whittlesea United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Keilor Park1.34

Whittlesea United1.53

1X2

33% 26% 41%

Keilor Park Draw Whittlesea United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Keilor Park 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Whittlesea United 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWDDDW

Head-to-head

Keilor Park 2–1–2 Whittlesea United (5 last)

Whittlesea United4-0Keilor Park
Whittlesea United1-2Keilor Park
Whittlesea United0-1Keilor Park
Keilor Park0-2Whittlesea United
Whittlesea United1-1Keilor Park

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Keilor Park 1500 · Whittlesea United 1553

	Keilor Park	Draw	Whittlesea United
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	33%	25%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Whittlesea United (rating 1500 vs 1553).
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Keilor Park	Whittlesea United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.8	2 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.60

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:21 +4’	2.70	3.60	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Keilor Park 2–1–2 Whittlesea United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Whittlesea United	4-0 HT 2-0	Keilor Park
17/07/22 Australia Victoria State League 1	Whittlesea United	1-2 HT 0-1	Keilor Park
04/07/21 Australia Victoria State League 1	Whittlesea United	0-1 HT 0-1	Keilor Park
10/04/21 Australia Victoria State League 1	Keilor Park	0-2 HT 0-0	Whittlesea United
03/06/19 Australia Victoria State League 1	Whittlesea United	1-1 HT 1-0	Keilor Park

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malvern City	23	16	2	5	56	27	50
2	Goulburn Valley Suns FC	23	15	4	4	52	31	49
3	Essendon Royals	23	14	2	7	57	35	44
4	Bayside Argonauts FC	23	12	5	6	41	30	41
5	Keilor Park	23	12	1	10	30	32	37
6	Box Hill United	23	10	6	7	34	27	36
7	Whittlesea United	23	8	9	6	37	25	33
8	Springvale White Eagles	23	8	5	10	27	39	29
9	Eastern Lions	23	6	8	9	36	35	26
10	Nunawading	22	7	4	11	21	38	25
11	Werribee City	23	6	6	11	35	41	24
12	Kingston City	23	7	2	14	28	51	23
13	Altona City	23	3	8	12	20	34	17
14	Moreland City SC	22	2	6	14	27	56	12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Keilor Park	Whittlesea United
Goulburn Valley Suns FC	0-4 L	0-0 D
Box Hill United	1-0 W	3-1 W
Bayside Argonauts FC	0-1 L	3-4 L
Werribee City	3-1 W	4-0 W
Malvern City	1-0 W	1-0 W
Springvale White Eagles	2-5 L	2-0 W
Kingston City	2-0 W	1-1 D
Eastern Lions	1-0 W	5-2 W
Altona City	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Whittlesea United (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Keilor Park

WWWLLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
31/07	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
24/07	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
18/07	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/07	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-3	2-5	–	–	L
12/06	Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-2	0-2	5	8	L
29/05	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	11	4	W
22/05	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/05	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	4	2	W

Whittlesea United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	3-0	5-2	7	2	W
25/07	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	11	3	D
17/07	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/07	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	10	6	D
03/07	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
19/06	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-3	3-4	–	–	L
12/06	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	4-0	7	2	W
05/06	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
30/05	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Keilor Park vs Whittlesea United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Whittlesea United win (41%). Probabilities: Keilor Park 33%, draw 26%, Whittlesea United 41%.

How many goals are expected in Keilor Park vs Whittlesea United?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Keilor Park 1.34 · Whittlesea United 1.53), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Keilor Park vs Whittlesea United?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.