Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 21/08, 11:30

Prediction: Box Hill United vs Nunawading

Team pages: Box Hill United · Nunawading

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Box Hill United1.66

Nunawading1.2

1X2

48% 25% 27%

Box Hill United Draw Nunawading

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Box Hill United 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWDLWD

Nunawading 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Box Hill United 4–2 Nunawading (6 last)

Nunawading1-0Box Hill United
Nunawading0-1Box Hill United
Box Hill United1-0Nunawading
Box Hill United4-1Nunawading
Nunawading1-0Box Hill United
Box Hill United2-1Nunawading

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Box Hill United 1494 · Nunawading 1436

	Box Hill United	Draw	Nunawading
Our model	47%	27%	27%
Market	48%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Box Hill United (rating 1494 vs 1436).
H2H favours Box Hill United: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Box Hill United	Nunawading
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	0.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.3	1.4 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.80

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
08:18 +4’	1.85	3.80	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Box Hill United 4–0–2 Nunawading

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Nunawading	1-0 HT 1-0	Box Hill United
30/05/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Nunawading	0-1 HT 0-0	Box Hill United
21/02/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Box Hill United	1-0 HT 0-0	Nunawading
09/08/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Box Hill United	4-1 HT 1-0	Nunawading
18/05/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Nunawading	1-0 HT 0-0	Box Hill United
17/06/23 Australia Victoria Premier League 3	Box Hill United	2-1 HT 1-1	Nunawading

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malvern City	24	17	2	5	61	29	53
2	Goulburn Valley Suns FC	24	16	4	4	54	31	52
3	Essendon Royals	24	15	2	7	60	36	47
4	Bayside Argonauts FC	24	13	5	6	42	30	44
5	Keilor Park	24	12	2	10	33	35	38
6	Box Hill United	24	10	7	7	36	29	37
7	Whittlesea United	24	8	10	6	40	28	34
8	Springvale White Eagles	24	8	5	11	29	44	29
9	Eastern Lions	24	6	8	10	37	38	26
10	Kingston City	24	8	2	14	32	52	26
11	Nunawading	23	7	4	12	21	39	25
12	Werribee City	24	6	6	12	35	43	24
13	Altona City	24	3	8	13	21	38	17
14	Moreland City SC	23	2	7	14	29	58	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Box Hill United	Nunawading
Bayside Argonauts FC	1-0 W	0-1 L
Keilor Park	0-1 L	2-0 W
Eastern Lions	1-1 D	0-2 L
Altona City	3-1 W	0-0 D
Essendon Royals	2-3 L	1-5 L
Kingston City	3-1 W	0-4 L
Werribee City	0-2 L	0-4 L
Malvern City	2-1 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Box Hill United (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Box Hill United

WLWLLWDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
07/08	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
31/07	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-1	11	3	L
24/07	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
17/07	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	3-1	5	1	W
10/07	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-2	2-3	5	1	L
03/07	Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-3	2	3	L
19/06	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
05/06	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-2	6	1	L
29/05	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-1	7	3	W

Nunawading

LDLWLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
01/08	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-4	2	1	L
24/07	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-4	1	3	L
17/07	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
11/07	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
03/07	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-2	0-4	6	6	L
12/06	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	2-0	2-0	2	8	W
05/06	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
29/05	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
22/05	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-3	1-5	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Box Hill United vs Nunawading?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Box Hill United win (48%). Probabilities: Box Hill United 48%, draw 25%, Nunawading 27%.

How many goals are expected in Box Hill United vs Nunawading?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Box Hill United 1.66 · Nunawading 1.2), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Box Hill United vs Nunawading?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.