Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 21/08, 12:30

Prediction: Whittlesea United vs Moreland City SC

Team pages: Whittlesea United · Moreland City SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.04Total

Whittlesea United2.65

Moreland City SC1.39

1X2

64% 18% 18%

Whittlesea United Draw Moreland City SC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Whittlesea United 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

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Moreland City SC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Whittlesea United 0–1–0 Moreland City SC (1 last)

Moreland City SC1-1Whittlesea United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Whittlesea United 1547 · Moreland City SC 1429

	Whittlesea United	Draw	Moreland City SC
Our model	64%	19%	18%
Market	64%	18%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 4.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Whittlesea United (rating 1547 vs 1429).
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Whittlesea United	Moreland City SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	1.6 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 8.1	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X5.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:18 +4’	1.40	5.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Whittlesea United 0–1–0 Moreland City SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Moreland City SC	1-1 HT 1-0	Whittlesea United

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malvern City	24	17	2	5	61	29	53
2	Goulburn Valley Suns FC	24	16	4	4	54	31	52
3	Essendon Royals	24	15	2	7	60	36	47
4	Bayside Argonauts FC	24	13	5	6	42	30	44
5	Keilor Park	24	12	2	10	33	35	38
6	Box Hill United	24	10	7	7	36	29	37
7	Whittlesea United	24	8	10	6	40	28	34
8	Springvale White Eagles	24	8	5	11	29	44	29
9	Eastern Lions	24	6	8	10	37	38	26
10	Kingston City	24	8	2	14	32	52	26
11	Nunawading	23	7	4	12	21	39	25
12	Werribee City	24	6	6	12	35	43	24
13	Altona City	24	3	8	13	21	38	17
14	Moreland City SC	23	2	7	14	29	58	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Whittlesea United	Moreland City SC
Eastern Lions	5-2 W	3-3 D
Altona City	0-0 D	1-0 W
Kingston City	1-1 D	3-5 L
Box Hill United	3-1 W	2-2 D
Bayside Argonauts FC	3-4 L	0-1 L
Werribee City	4-0 W	4-4 D
Malvern City	1-0 W	0-5 L
Springvale White Eagles	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Whittlesea United (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Whittlesea United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-3	3-3	13	4	D
31/07	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	3-0	5-2	7	2	W
25/07	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	11	3	D
17/07	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/07	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	10	6	D
03/07	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
19/06	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-3	3-4	–	–	L
12/06	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	4-0	7	2	W
05/06	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
30/05	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Moreland City SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	3-5	7	2	L
01/08	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
25/07	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	4-0	4-4	–	–	D
18/07	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
11/07	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
04/07	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-4	2-5	–	–	L
12/06	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-2	8	1	L
30/05	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	2-1	3-3	–	–	D
23/05	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Whittlesea United vs Moreland City SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Whittlesea United win (64%). Probabilities: Whittlesea United 64%, draw 18%, Moreland City SC 18%.

How many goals are expected in Whittlesea United vs Moreland City SC?

The model expects 4.04 goals (Whittlesea United 2.65 · Moreland City SC 1.39), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Whittlesea United vs Moreland City SC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.