Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 22/08, 07:00

Prediction: Werribee City vs Springvale White Eagles

Team pages: Werribee City · Springvale White Eagles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Werribee City1.74

Springvale White Eagles1.41

1X2

45% 25% 31%

Werribee City Draw Springvale White Eagles

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Werribee City 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLLDWL

Springvale White Eagles 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDWWLLWL

Head-to-head

Werribee City 2–1–3 Springvale White Eagles (6 last)

Springvale White Eagles1-0Werribee City
Springvale White Eagles1-0Werribee City
Werribee City0-0Springvale White Eagles
Werribee City4-0Springvale White Eagles
Springvale White Eagles2-0Werribee City
Werribee City3-1Springvale White Eagles

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Werribee City 1456 · Springvale White Eagles 1477

	Werribee City	Draw	Springvale White Eagles
Our model	44%	25%	30%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Springvale White Eagles: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Werribee City	Springvale White Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	1.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.6	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.75

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
08:24 +15’	2.00	3.75	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Werribee City 2–1–3 Springvale White Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Springvale White Eagles	1-0 HT 0-0	Werribee City
23/05/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Springvale White Eagles	1-0 HT 0-0	Werribee City
14/02/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Werribee City	0-0 HT 0-0	Springvale White Eagles
23/03/19 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Werribee City	4-0 HT 1-0	Springvale White Eagles
14/04/18 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Springvale White Eagles	2-0 HT 0-0	Werribee City
07/05/17 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Werribee City	3-1 HT 0-0	Springvale White Eagles

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malvern City	24	17	2	5	61	29	53
2	Goulburn Valley Suns FC	24	16	4	4	54	31	52
3	Essendon Royals	24	15	2	7	60	36	47
4	Bayside Argonauts FC	24	13	5	6	42	30	44
5	Keilor Park	24	12	2	10	33	35	38
6	Box Hill United	24	10	7	7	36	29	37
7	Whittlesea United	24	8	10	6	40	28	34
8	Springvale White Eagles	24	8	5	11	29	44	29
9	Eastern Lions	24	6	8	10	37	38	26
10	Kingston City	24	8	2	14	32	52	26
11	Nunawading	23	7	4	12	21	39	25
12	Werribee City	24	6	6	12	35	43	24
13	Altona City	24	3	8	13	21	38	17
14	Moreland City SC	23	2	7	14	29	58	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Werribee City	Springvale White Eagles
Goulburn Valley Suns FC	0-2 L	1-2 L
Nunawading	4-0 W	0-2 L
Moreland City SC	4-4 D	1-0 W
Keilor Park	1-3 L	5-2 W
Eastern Lions	1-2 L	0-0 D
Altona City	0-0 D	2-2 D
Essendon Royals	2-3 L	0-8 L
Whittlesea United	0-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Springvale White Eagles (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Werribee City

LWLLDLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	4-0	11	1	W
25/07	Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-4	4-4	–	–	D
18/07	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
10/07	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
04/07	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
19/06	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-1	2-3	4	4	L
12/06	Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-4	6	2	L
05/06	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
30/05	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-2	0-2	5	2	L

Springvale White Eagles

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-3	2-5	–	–	L
31/07	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
25/07	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
17/07	Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
11/07	Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
03/07	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	3-0	5-2	–	–	W
19/06	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
12/06	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
05/06	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-8	2	3	L
30/05	Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Werribee City vs Springvale White Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Werribee City win (45%). Probabilities: Werribee City 45%, draw 25%, Springvale White Eagles 31%.

How many goals are expected in Werribee City vs Springvale White Eagles?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Werribee City 1.74 · Springvale White Eagles 1.41), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Werribee City vs Springvale White Eagles?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.