Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 22/08, 10:15

Prediction: Altona City vs Eastern Lions

Team pages: Altona City · Eastern Lions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Altona City1.17

Eastern Lions1.46

1X2

30% 26% 44%

Altona City Draw Eastern Lions

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Altona City 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

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Eastern Lions 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Altona City 1–0 Eastern Lions (1 last)

Eastern Lions0-2Altona City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Altona City 1436 · Eastern Lions 1463

	Altona City	Draw	Eastern Lions
Our model	29%	28%	43%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Altona City	Eastern Lions
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	1 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.75

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:35 +21’	2.88	3.75	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Altona City 1–0–0 Eastern Lions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Eastern Lions	0-2 HT 0-1	Altona City

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malvern City	24	17	2	5	61	29	53
2	Goulburn Valley Suns FC	24	16	4	4	54	31	52
3	Essendon Royals	24	15	2	7	60	36	47
4	Bayside Argonauts FC	24	13	5	6	42	30	44
5	Keilor Park	24	12	2	10	33	35	38
6	Box Hill United	24	10	7	7	36	29	37
7	Whittlesea United	24	8	10	6	40	28	34
8	Springvale White Eagles	24	8	5	11	29	44	29
9	Eastern Lions	24	6	8	10	37	38	26
10	Kingston City	24	8	2	14	32	52	26
11	Nunawading	23	7	4	12	21	39	25
12	Werribee City	24	6	6	12	35	43	24
13	Altona City	24	3	8	13	21	38	17
14	Moreland City SC	23	2	7	14	29	58	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Altona City	Eastern Lions
Essendon Royals	2-3 L	1-3 L
Whittlesea United	0-0 D	2-5 L
Box Hill United	1-3 L	1-1 D
Bayside Argonauts FC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Werribee City	0-0 D	2-1 W
Malvern City	0-2 L	2-2 D
Springvale White Eagles	2-2 D	0-0 D
Goulburn Valley Suns FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Nunawading	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 5 D 4 L	2 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Eastern Lions (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Altona City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-4	4	4	L
31/07	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	2-0	2-3	4	8	L
25/07	Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
17/07	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-3	3	1	L
11/07	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
04/07	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
20/06	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
12/06	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
06/06	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	9	3	D
29/05	Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D

Eastern Lions

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
08/08	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
31/07	Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-3	2-5	4	2	L
24/07	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
17/07	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
10/07	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
19/06	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
13/06	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
05/06	Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
30/05	Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-2	3-3	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Altona City vs Eastern Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Eastern Lions win (44%). Probabilities: Altona City 30%, draw 26%, Eastern Lions 44%.

How many goals are expected in Altona City vs Eastern Lions?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Altona City 1.17 · Eastern Lions 1.46), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Altona City vs Eastern Lions?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.