Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 14/08, 11:30

Prediction: Nunawading vs Bayside Argonauts FC

Team pages: Nunawading · Bayside Argonauts FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Nunawading1.12

Bayside Argonauts FC1.61

1X2

27% 25% 49%

Nunawading Draw Bayside Argonauts FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nunawading 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Bayside Argonauts FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Nunawading 0–1–0 Bayside Argonauts FC (1 last)

Bayside Argonauts FC1-1Nunawading

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nunawading 1451 · Bayside Argonauts FC 1541

	Nunawading	Draw	Bayside Argonauts FC
Our model	25%	27%	48%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bayside Argonauts FC (rating 1451 vs 1541).
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nunawading	Bayside Argonauts FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2	1.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2.9	4.2 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:13 +2’	3.25	4.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nunawading 0–1–0 Bayside Argonauts FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Bayside Argonauts FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Nunawading

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malvern City	23	16	2	5	56	27	50
2	Goulburn Valley Suns FC	23	15	4	4	52	31	49
3	Essendon Royals	23	14	2	7	57	35	44
4	Bayside Argonauts FC	23	12	5	6	41	30	41
5	Keilor Park	23	12	1	10	30	32	37
6	Box Hill United	23	10	6	7	34	27	36
7	Whittlesea United	23	8	9	6	37	25	33
8	Springvale White Eagles	23	8	5	10	27	39	29
9	Eastern Lions	23	6	8	9	36	35	26
10	Nunawading	22	7	4	11	21	38	25
11	Werribee City	23	6	6	11	35	41	24
12	Kingston City	23	7	2	14	28	51	23
13	Altona City	23	3	8	12	20	34	17
14	Moreland City SC	22	2	6	14	27	56	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nunawading	Bayside Argonauts FC
Werribee City	0-4 L	2-0 W
Malvern City	1-4 L	1-2 L
Kingston City	0-4 L	5-0 W
Keilor Park	2-0 W	1-0 W
Eastern Lions	0-2 L	1-1 D
Altona City	0-0 D	1-0 W
Essendon Royals	1-5 L	1-1 D
Box Hill United	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bayside Argonauts FC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nunawading

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-4	2	1	L
24/07	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-4	1	3	L
17/07	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
11/07	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
03/07	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-2	0-4	6	6	L
12/06	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	2-0	2-0	2	8	W
05/06	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
29/05	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
22/05	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-3	1-5	5	6	L
09/05	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	4	3	W

Bayside Argonauts FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
01/08	Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
24/07	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
17/07	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
11/07	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/07	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
19/06	Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	3-1	4-3	–	–	W
06/06	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	4-0	5-0	–	–	W
30/05	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
23/05	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-2	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nunawading vs Bayside Argonauts FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bayside Argonauts FC win (49%). Probabilities: Nunawading 27%, draw 25%, Bayside Argonauts FC 49%.

How many goals are expected in Nunawading vs Bayside Argonauts FC?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Nunawading 1.12 · Bayside Argonauts FC 1.61), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Nunawading vs Bayside Argonauts FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.