Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 14/08, 18:30
Prediction: Ahlafors IF vs Grebbestads IF
Team pages: Ahlafors IF · Grebbestads IF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Ahlafors IF2.02
Grebbestads IF1.3
1X2
Ahlafors IF
Draw
Grebbestads IF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ahlafors IF
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Grebbestads IF
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ahlafors IF
3–1–2
Grebbestads IF
(6 last)
- Grebbestads IF0-2Ahlafors IF
- Grebbestads IF1-0Ahlafors IF
- Ahlafors IF2-1Grebbestads IF
- Ahlafors IF4-3Grebbestads IF
- Grebbestads IF2-2Ahlafors IF
- Grebbestads IF2-1Ahlafors IF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ahlafors IF 1560 · Grebbestads IF 1560
| Ahlafors IF | Draw | Grebbestads IF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 23% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ahlafors IF: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ahlafors IF | Grebbestads IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.8 | 2.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ahlafors IF 3–1–2 Grebbestads IF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Grebbestads IF | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Ahlafors IF |
| 08/08/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Grebbestads IF | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ahlafors IF |
| 28/05/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Ahlafors IF | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Grebbestads IF |
| 28/06/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Ahlafors IF | 4-3 HT 2-2 | Grebbestads IF |
| 05/04/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Grebbestads IF | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Ahlafors IF |
| 03/09/22 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Grebbestads IF | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Ahlafors IF |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna FF | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 10 | 42 |
| 2 | Skara | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | IFK Skövde FK | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | Grebbestads IF | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 29 |
| 5 | Ahlafors IF | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 19 | 27 |
| 6 | Herrestads AIF | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 31 | 23 |
| 7 | Stenungsunds IF | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 22 |
| 8 | IFK Kumla | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 20 |
| 9 | Motala AIF FK | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 19 |
| 10 | Vanersborgs FK | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 32 | 16 |
| 11 | Lidköpings FK | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 12 |
| 12 | IK Tord | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 11 |
| 13 | IF Karlstad II | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 10 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 9 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ahlafors IF | Grebbestads IF |
|---|---|---|
| IF Karlstad II | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| IFK Skövde FK | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| IFK Kumla | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ahlafors IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/06 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/06 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
Grebbestads IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/07 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/06 | IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-3 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 12/06 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 3-2 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ahlafors IF vs Grebbestads IF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ahlafors IF win (54%). Probabilities: Ahlafors IF 54%, draw 23%, Grebbestads IF 24%.
How many goals are expected in Ahlafors IF vs Grebbestads IF?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Ahlafors IF 2.02 · Grebbestads IF 1.3), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ahlafors IF vs Grebbestads IF?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.