Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 06/08, 16:00

Prediction: Sogdiana Jizzakh vs FK Andijan

Team pages: Sogdiana Jizzakh · FK Andijan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Sogdiana Jizzakh1.69

FK Andijan1.55

1X2

40% 27% 34%

Sogdiana Jizzakh Draw FK Andijan

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sogdiana Jizzakh 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWWLLW

FK Andijan 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDLDWD

Head-to-head

Sogdiana Jizzakh 2–2–2 FK Andijan (6 last)

FK Andijan4-0Sogdiana Jizzakh
FK Andijan2-2Sogdiana Jizzakh
Sogdiana Jizzakh1-0FK Andijan
Sogdiana Jizzakh1-1FK Andijan
FK Andijan0-1Sogdiana Jizzakh
Sogdiana Jizzakh1-2FK Andijan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sogdiana Jizzakh 1502 · FK Andijan 1563

	Sogdiana Jizzakh	Draw	FK Andijan
Our model	40%	25%	34%
Market	39%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Andijan (rating 1502 vs 1563).
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sogdiana Jizzakh	FK Andijan
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.9	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.4	1.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	2.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.20

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.42 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.84

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:16 +2’	2.30	3.20	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:27	2.45	3.19	2.81
14:39 +1’	2.42▼	3.19	2.84▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sogdiana Jizzakh 2–2–2 FK Andijan

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Andijan	4-0 HT 2-0	Sogdiana Jizzakh
21/09/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Andijan	2-2 HT 0-0	Sogdiana Jizzakh
26/04/25 Uzbekistan PFL	Sogdiana Jizzakh	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Andijan
20/09/24 Uzbekistan PFL	Sogdiana Jizzakh	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Andijan
04/05/24 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Andijan	0-1 HT 0-0	Sogdiana Jizzakh
21/10/23 Uzbekistan PFL	Sogdiana Jizzakh	1-2 HT 1-0	FK Andijan

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	15	11	3	1	33	6	36
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	15	10	4	1	26	14	34
3	FK Buxoro	15	8	2	5	19	16	26
4	AGMK	15	7	4	4	24	20	25
5	Navbahor Namangan	15	7	4	4	23	14	25
6	Nasaf Qarshi	15	6	6	3	19	14	24
7	Lokomotiv Tashkent	15	6	4	5	22	21	22
8	FK Andijan	15	6	3	6	22	16	21
9	Dinamo Samarqand	15	6	3	6	24	25	21
10	FC Bunyodkor	15	6	1	8	14	19	19
11	Termez Surkhon	15	5	3	7	15	22	18
12	Qizilqum Zarafshon	15	5	2	8	13	19	17
13	Xorazm Urganch	15	4	4	7	12	22	16
14	Sogdiana Jizzakh	15	4	3	8	26	34	15
15	FK Kokand 1912	15	2	5	8	13	24	11
16	Mashal Mubarek	15	1	1	13	8	27	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sogdiana Jizzakh	FK Andijan
Lokomotiv Tashkent	1-3 L	3-3 D
Xorazm Urganch	2-0 W	3-0 W
FK Buxoro	1-2 L	2-0 W
Termez Surkhon	5-2 W	1-2 L
FC Bunyodkor	2-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Andijan (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sogdiana Jizzakh

WLDWLWWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	3-1	7	1	W
27/07	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-3	5	4	L
21/07	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	1-3	1-5	5	5	L
16/07	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
14/05	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan Cup	2-0	2-1	2	3	W
02/05	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
28/04	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	5-2	6	3	W
23/04	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
19/04	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	2-1	2-3	6	1	L
13/04	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	3-1	1	6	W

FK Andijan

DWWWWDLDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
27/07	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	2-0	7	3	W
22/07	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	3-3	4	3	D
18/07	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-2	4	2	L
21/05	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan Cup	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
15/05	Shurtan Uzbekistan Cup	1-0	3-1	8	0	W
04/05	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
28/04	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
24/04	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	3-1	2	1	W
19/04	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sogdiana Jizzakh vs FK Andijan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sogdiana Jizzakh win (40%). Probabilities: Sogdiana Jizzakh 40%, draw 27%, FK Andijan 34%.

How many goals are expected in Sogdiana Jizzakh vs FK Andijan?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Sogdiana Jizzakh 1.69 · FK Andijan 1.55), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sogdiana Jizzakh vs FK Andijan?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.