Football · Brazil Serie A · 11/10, 22:30

Prediction: Gremio vs Internacional

Team pages: Gremio · Internacional

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Gremio1.12
Internacional1.21
1X2
33% 30% 37%
Gremio Draw Internacional
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Gremio 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DWLLWLLLDD
Internacional 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDDDDLLWLW
Head-to-head
Gremio 2–3–1 Internacional (6 last)
  • Gremio3-1Internacional
  • Internacional0-0Gremio
  • Internacional0-0Gremio
  • Internacional1-1Gremio
  • Gremio3-0Internacional
  • Internacional4-2Gremio
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gremio 1473 · Internacional 1466
GremioDrawInternacional
Our model32%31%37%
Market33%30%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Gremio: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GremioInternacional
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.41 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.51.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 05.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gremio 2–3–1 Internacional

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/09/26
Copa do Brasil
Gremio3-1
HT 2-0
Internacional
28/08/26
Copa do Brasil
Internacional0-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
12/04/26
Brazil Serie A
Internacional0-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
08/03/26
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
Internacional1-1
HT 0-1
Gremio
01/03/26
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
Gremio3-0
HT 2-0
Internacional
26/01/26
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
Internacional4-2
HT 1-1
Gremio

Standings · Brazil Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Flamengo 291874 572561
2 Palmeiras 291793 482160
3 Fluminense 291496 483651
4 Athletico Paranaense 291487 453450
5 Cruzeiro 291469 444048
6 EC Bahia 2912107 433646
7 Atletico Mineiro 291289 393444
8 Santos 291199 454342
9 Sao Paulo 3011613 353539
10 Coritiba 2910811 374738
11 Bragantino 2910712 343337
12 Vitoria 3010614 334436
13 Botafogo 299812 424735
14 Vasco da Gama 299812 364235
15 Mirassol 298912 344333
16 Corinthians 298813 303432
17 Internacional 2971012 323731
18 Gremio 297913 313930
19 Remo 3051015 334825
20 Chapecoense 283916 295718

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGremioInternacional
Remo 1-1 D 1-1 D
Palmeiras 0-0 D 0-0 D
Chapecoense 3-1 W 2-1 W
Atletico Mineiro 0-3 L 0-0 D
Sao Paulo 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gremio (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gremio

DWLLWLLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/10 Remo
Brazil Serie A
1-0 1-1 47 D
20/09 Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A
0-0 0-0 210 D
17/09 Botafogo
Brazil Serie A
1-1 2-3 32 L
12/09 Vasco da Gama
Brazil Serie A
1-0 1-2 36 L
08/09 Vitoria
Brazil Serie A
0-0 0-1 17 L
30/08 Chapecoense
Brazil Serie A
2-1 3-1 54 W
23/08 Bragantino
Brazil Serie A
0-0 0-1 55 L
16/08 Atletico Mineiro
Brazil Serie A
0-1 0-3 66 L
08/08 Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A
0-1 2-1 77 W
26/07 Fluminense
Brazil Serie A
0-0 1-1 96 D

Internacional

LDDDDLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/10 Corinthians
Brazil Serie A
1-0 2-1 39 W
20/09 Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A
0-1 0-1 34 L
12/09 Chapecoense
Brazil Serie A
1-1 2-1 28 W
06/09 Santos
Brazil Serie A
0-3 2-3 79 L
31/08 EC Bahia
Brazil Serie A
1-3 2-3 36 L
22/08 Atletico Mineiro
Brazil Serie A
0-0 0-0 68 D
18/08 Remo
Brazil Serie A
1-0 1-1 45 D
09/08 Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A
0-0 0-0 24 D
30/07 Flamengo
Brazil Serie A
1-0 1-1 24 D
25/07 Athletico Paranaense
Brazil Serie A
0-1 0-2 70 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gremio vs Internacional?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Internacional win (37%). Probabilities: Gremio 33%, draw 30%, Internacional 37%.

How many goals are expected in Gremio vs Internacional?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Gremio 1.12 · Internacional 1.21), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gremio vs Internacional?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.