Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 28/08, 19:00

Prediction: Lunds BK vs BK Olympic

Team pages: Lunds BK · BK Olympic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Lunds BK2.16

BK Olympic1.41

1X2

54% 23% 24%

Lunds BK Draw BK Olympic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Lunds BK 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLDWDDLW

BK Olympic 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWWLDL

Head-to-head

Lunds BK 3–2–1 BK Olympic (6 last)

BK Olympic1-3Lunds BK
BK Olympic3-2Lunds BK
Lunds BK2-2BK Olympic
Lunds BK2-1BK Olympic
Lunds BK4-1BK Olympic
Lunds BK1-1BK Olympic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lunds BK 1514 · BK Olympic 1513

	Lunds BK	Draw	BK Olympic
Our model	54%	22%	24%
Market	53%	23%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lunds BK: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lunds BK	BK Olympic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	1.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.6	2.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.90

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.83 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:00 +7’	1.67	3.90	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +2’	1.83	3.87	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lunds BK 3–2–1 BK Olympic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	BK Olympic	1-3 HT 1-1	Lunds BK
20/09/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	BK Olympic	3-2 HT 1-1	Lunds BK
23/07/25 Club Friendly List	Lunds BK	2-2 HT 0-2	BK Olympic
06/06/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	2-1 HT 1-1	BK Olympic
31/08/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	4-1 HT 2-1	BK Olympic
27/07/24 Club Friendly List	Lunds BK	1-1 HT 0-1	BK Olympic

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	18	10	6	2	39	20	36
2	Atvidabergs FF	18	10	5	3	38	23	35
3	Hässleholms IF	18	10	3	5	36	23	33
4	Lunds BK	18	8	7	3	34	24	31
5	Ariana FC Malmo	18	8	5	5	35	27	29
6	FC Rosengård 1917	18	7	7	4	28	22	28
7	Tvååkers IF	18	8	4	6	26	27	28
8	Eskilsminne IF	18	7	4	7	30	31	25
9	Jonkopings Sodra	18	6	5	7	24	19	23
10	BK Olympic	18	7	2	9	30	33	23
11	FC Trollhättan	18	5	7	6	22	28	22
12	Skövde AIK	18	4	8	6	17	27	20
13	Angelholm	18	3	8	7	25	30	17
14	Laholms FK	18	5	2	11	23	32	17
15	Kristianstad FC	18	4	5	9	19	29	17
16	Utsiktens BK	18	1	4	13	15	46	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lunds BK	BK Olympic
Ariana FC Malmo	5-2 W	2-2 D
Skövde AIK	1-1 D	3-1 W
Jonkopings Sodra	0-0 D	0-2 L
Eskilsminne IF	4-2 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lunds BK (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lunds BK

WWDLDWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	5-2	3	2	W
14/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	9	4	L
08/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
02/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
27/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	4	W
18/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
12/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-4	10	1	L
07/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	13	1	D
03/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
22/05	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	4-2	4	3	W

BK Olympic

LLDWWWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	3-4	9	2	L
15/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
09/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
01/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	3-1	8	3	W
28/06	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
21/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
13/06	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	3-2	5	4	W
08/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	0	2	D
03/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-3	1	1	L
23/05	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lunds BK vs BK Olympic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lunds BK win (54%). Probabilities: Lunds BK 54%, draw 23%, BK Olympic 24%.

How many goals are expected in Lunds BK vs BK Olympic?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Lunds BK 2.16 · BK Olympic 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lunds BK vs BK Olympic?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.