Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Tvååkers IF vs Skövde AIK

Team pages: Tvååkers IF · Skövde AIK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Tvååkers IF1.83

Skövde AIK1.45

1X2

46% 24% 30%

Tvååkers IF Draw Skövde AIK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Tvååkers IF 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWWLDLWW

Skövde AIK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLLDLW

Head-to-head

Tvååkers IF 2–2–2 Skövde AIK (6 last)

Skövde AIK0-0Tvååkers IF
Skövde AIK1-1Tvååkers IF
Tvååkers IF0-2Skövde AIK
Tvååkers IF2-1Skövde AIK
Skövde AIK2-0Tvååkers IF
Skövde AIK2-3Tvååkers IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tvååkers IF 1514 · Skövde AIK 1447

	Tvååkers IF	Draw	Skövde AIK
Our model	46%	25%	30%
Market	46%	24%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tvååkers IF (rating 1514 vs 1447).
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tvååkers IF	Skövde AIK
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2	1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.9	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.70

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.09 ★
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:06 +12’	1.95	3.70	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:26 +2’	2.09	3.56	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tvååkers IF 2–2–2 Skövde AIK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	0-0 HT 0-0	Tvååkers IF
25/09/21 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	1-1 HT 1-0	Tvååkers IF
19/06/21 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	0-2 HT 0-1	Skövde AIK
17/10/20 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	2-1 HT 1-0	Skövde AIK
19/07/20 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	2-0 HT 1-0	Tvååkers IF
29/09/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	2-3 HT 2-3	Tvååkers IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	18	10	6	2	39	20	36
2	Atvidabergs FF	18	10	5	3	38	23	35
3	Hässleholms IF	18	10	3	5	36	23	33
4	Lunds BK	18	8	7	3	34	24	31
5	Ariana FC Malmo	18	8	5	5	35	27	29
6	FC Rosengård 1917	18	7	7	4	28	22	28
7	Tvååkers IF	18	8	4	6	26	27	28
8	Eskilsminne IF	18	7	4	7	30	31	25
9	Jonkopings Sodra	18	6	5	7	24	19	23
10	BK Olympic	18	7	2	9	30	33	23
11	FC Trollhättan	18	5	7	6	22	28	22
12	Skövde AIK	18	4	8	6	17	27	20
13	Angelholm	18	3	8	7	25	30	17
14	Laholms FK	18	5	2	11	23	32	17
15	Kristianstad FC	18	4	5	9	19	29	17
16	Utsiktens BK	18	1	4	13	15	46	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tvååkers IF	Skövde AIK
BK Olympic	4-3 W	1-3 L
Kristianstad FC	2-1 W	3-1 W
Atvidabergs FF	1-2 L	1-2 L
Hässleholms IF	2-4 L	2-2 D
Jonkopings Sodra	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Skövde AIK (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tvååkers IF

DLDWWLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-3	2	2	W
15/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
08/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
01/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
26/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-3	2-4	4	1	L
18/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-2	3	0	W
13/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
07/06	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	2-2	5	4	D
30/05	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
23/05	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	3	3	D

Skövde AIK

LWLLDLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-1	7	3	W
16/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
08/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
01/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-3	7	3	L
27/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
18/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	2	D
14/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
07/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-4	3	1	L
01/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
23/05	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	0-4	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tvååkers IF vs Skövde AIK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tvååkers IF win (46%). Probabilities: Tvååkers IF 46%, draw 24%, Skövde AIK 30%.

How many goals are expected in Tvååkers IF vs Skövde AIK?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Tvååkers IF 1.83 · Skövde AIK 1.45), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tvååkers IF vs Skövde AIK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.