Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 26/09, 13:00

Prediction: FC Trollhättan vs Tvååkers IF

Team pages: FC Trollhättan · Tvååkers IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

FC Trollhättan2.01

Tvååkers IF1.25

1X2

54% 23% 23%

FC Trollhättan Draw Tvååkers IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Trollhättan 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Tvååkers IF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWWDWDLL

Head-to-head

FC Trollhättan 2–2–2 Tvååkers IF (6 last)

Tvååkers IF1-1FC Trollhättan
Tvååkers IF1-1FC Trollhättan
FC Trollhättan1-3Tvååkers IF
Tvååkers IF0-3FC Trollhättan
FC Trollhättan3-4Tvååkers IF
FC Trollhättan1-0Tvååkers IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Trollhättan 1572 · Tvååkers IF 1485

	FC Trollhättan	Draw	Tvååkers IF
Our model	54%	23%	23%
Market	54%	22%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Trollhättan (rating 1572 vs 1485).
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Trollhättan	Tvååkers IF
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.1	1 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.00

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:34 +3’	1.65	4.00	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Trollhättan 2–2–2 Tvååkers IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Trollhättan
22/09/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Trollhättan
14/04/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	1-3 HT 1-1	Tvååkers IF
26/08/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Trollhättan
26/06/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	3-4 HT 2-0	Tvååkers IF
06/08/22 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	1-0 HT 0-0	Tvååkers IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	23	14	6	3	49	27	48
2	Hässleholms IF	23	13	3	7	43	27	42
3	Atvidabergs FF	23	12	6	5	46	33	42
4	Lunds BK	23	11	8	4	46	27	41
5	Ariana FC Malmo	23	9	8	6	42	34	35
6	FC Rosengård 1917	23	9	8	6	39	33	35
7	FC Trollhättan	23	9	7	7	37	34	34
8	Jonkopings Sodra	23	9	6	8	29	22	33
9	Tvååkers IF	23	9	6	8	30	33	33
10	BK Olympic	23	9	3	11	40	44	30
11	Eskilsminne IF	23	8	5	10	38	42	29
12	Skövde AIK	23	6	9	8	26	35	27
13	Kristianstad FC	23	6	6	11	28	36	24
14	Laholms FK	23	6	4	13	30	41	22
15	Angelholm	23	3	9	11	27	43	18
16	Utsiktens BK	23	1	6	16	18	57	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Trollhättan	Tvååkers IF
Hässleholms IF	1-0 W	2-4 L
Skövde AIK	3-1 W	1-1 D
Utsiktens BK	5-0 W	2-2 D
Eskilsminne IF	4-2 W	2-4 L
Trelleborgs FF	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Trollhättan (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Trollhättan

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
17/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
11/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	5-0	1	4	W
05/09	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	4-2	9	2	W
29/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-3	13	5	L
22/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
15/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
08/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
01/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
27/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	2	2	D

Tvååkers IF

LDLWWDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
17/09	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	2-4	3	6	L
12/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
06/09	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
29/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	1	1	D
22/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-3	2	2	W
15/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
08/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
01/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
26/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-3	2-4	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Trollhättan vs Tvååkers IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Trollhättan win (54%). Probabilities: FC Trollhättan 54%, draw 23%, Tvååkers IF 23%.

How many goals are expected in FC Trollhättan vs Tvååkers IF?

The model expects 3.26 goals (FC Trollhättan 2.01 · Tvååkers IF 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Trollhättan vs Tvååkers IF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.