Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 27/09, 13:00

Prediction: IK Tord vs Stenungsunds IF

Team pages: IK Tord · Stenungsunds IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

IK Tord1.47

Stenungsunds IF1.3

1X2

41% 26% 33%

IK Tord Draw Stenungsunds IF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Tord 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLDLWLLW

Stenungsunds IF 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDLDLW

Head-to-head

IK Tord 0–1–0 Stenungsunds IF (1 last)

Stenungsunds IF1-1IK Tord

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Tord 1488 · Stenungsunds IF 1519

	IK Tord	Draw	Stenungsunds IF
Our model	40%	28%	32%
Market	42%	24%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Tord	Stenungsunds IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	2.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	3.2 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.75

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15
X	3.70 → 3.75▲	Bet365 3.75
2	2.40 → 2.63▲	Pinn 3.15 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 13.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:37 +3’	2.35	3.70	2.40
03:21 +4’	2.15▼	3.75▲	2.63▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:11 +12’	2.15	3.33	2.79
02:55 +29’	2.11▼	3.30▼	2.88▲
05:04 +3’	2.13▲	3.30	2.84▼
07:03	1.90▼	3.46▲	3.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Tord 0–1–0 Stenungsunds IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Stenungsunds IF	1-1 HT 1-1	IK Tord

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	23	19	3	1	54	18	60
2	Skara	23	15	5	3	48	25	50
3	IFK Skövde FK	22	12	5	5	38	25	41
4	Ahlafors IF	23	11	7	5	49	26	40
5	Grebbestads IF	23	12	3	8	42	33	39
6	Herrestads AIF	22	9	7	6	41	38	34
7	Stenungsunds IF	22	8	6	8	38	29	30
8	Vanersborgs FK	23	8	4	11	30	39	28
9	IFK Kumla	23	6	7	10	22	39	25
10	Lidköpings FK	23	6	6	11	28	42	24
11	Motala AIF FK	22	5	8	9	29	32	23
12	IK Tord	22	3	9	10	25	37	18
13	IF Karlstad II	22	2	7	13	23	43	13
14	Vänersborgs IF	23	2	3	18	24	65	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Tord	Stenungsunds IF
Vanersborgs FK	2-1 W	0-1 L
Vänersborgs IF	1-0 W	0-1 L
Skara	1-2 L	1-1 D
Motala AIF FK	1-1 D	2-2 D
Herrestads AIF	2-3 L	0-1 L
IFK Kumla	2-0 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Tord

LDWLDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
30/08	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
22/08	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	1-2	11	2	L
15/08	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
09/08	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-3	1	0	L
31/07	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
27/06	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
18/06	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	4	0	L

Stenungsunds IF

WLDWWDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
11/09	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
28/08	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
22/08	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	5-0	9	1	W
08/08	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
31/07	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
26/06	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
18/06	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-1	4-2	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Tord vs Stenungsunds IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Tord win (41%). Probabilities: IK Tord 41%, draw 26%, Stenungsunds IF 33%.

How many goals are expected in IK Tord vs Stenungsunds IF?

The model expects 2.77 goals (IK Tord 1.47 · Stenungsunds IF 1.3), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Tord vs Stenungsunds IF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.