Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 05/10, 19:00

Prediction: Herrestads AIF vs Grebbestads IF

Team pages: Herrestads AIF · Grebbestads IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Herrestads AIF1.84

Grebbestads IF1.51

1X2

45% 24% 31%

Herrestads AIF Draw Grebbestads IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Herrestads AIF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Grebbestads IF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLDLLWWW

Head-to-head

Herrestads AIF 3–2–1 Grebbestads IF (6 last)

Grebbestads IF2-1Herrestads AIF
Herrestads AIF1-1Grebbestads IF
Grebbestads IF1-2Herrestads AIF
Herrestads AIF1-0Grebbestads IF
Grebbestads IF2-2Herrestads AIF
Grebbestads IF0-4Herrestads AIF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Herrestads AIF 1512 · Grebbestads IF 1536

	Herrestads AIF	Draw	Grebbestads IF
Our model	45%	24%	31%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Herrestads AIF: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Herrestads AIF	Grebbestads IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.3	3.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.3	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.75

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:26 +5’	2.00	3.75	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Herrestads AIF 3–2–1 Grebbestads IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Grebbestads IF	2-1 HT 1-1	Herrestads AIF
19/09/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Herrestads AIF	1-1 HT 0-1	Grebbestads IF
19/06/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Grebbestads IF	1-2 HT 1-1	Herrestads AIF
27/09/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Herrestads AIF	1-0 HT 0-0	Grebbestads IF
24/05/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Grebbestads IF	2-2 HT 0-1	Herrestads AIF
16/09/23 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Grebbestads IF	0-4 HT 0-3	Herrestads AIF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	24	20	3	1	58	18	63
2	Skara	24	16	5	3	51	26	53
3	IFK Skövde FK	24	14	5	5	42	25	47
4	Ahlafors IF	23	11	7	5	49	26	40
5	Grebbestads IF	23	12	3	8	42	33	39
6	Herrestads AIF	23	9	7	7	41	42	34
7	Stenungsunds IF	24	9	6	9	43	33	33
8	Vanersborgs FK	24	8	4	12	30	40	28
9	Lidköpings FK	24	7	6	11	29	42	27
10	Motala AIF FK	23	6	8	9	33	32	26
11	IFK Kumla	24	6	7	11	23	42	25
12	IK Tord	23	3	9	11	26	42	18
13	IF Karlstad II	23	2	7	14	23	44	13
14	Vänersborgs IF	24	2	3	19	24	69	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Herrestads AIF	Grebbestads IF
Motala AIF FK	0-4 L	3-1 W
IFK Kumla	2-1 W	2-1 W
Lidköpings FK	1-2 L	0-1 L
IF Karlstad II	2-2 D	2-1 W
Stenungsunds IF	1-0 W	1-1 D
Vänersborgs IF	3-0 W	2-1 W
IFK Skövde FK	2-2 D	1-1 D
Skara	0-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Grebbestads IF (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Herrestads AIF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
18/09	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	2-1	4	7	W
13/09	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-2	8	2	L
05/09	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
28/08	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
21/08	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
15/08	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
09/08	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	3-2	3	0	W
31/07	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	3-1	4-2	7	2	W
26/06	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-2	3	3	L

Grebbestads IF

WWDLDLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
19/09	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	10	1	L
30/08	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	2-3	2	2	L
22/08	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
14/08	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-3	4	6	L
08/08	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
31/07	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
24/06	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	2-1	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Herrestads AIF vs Grebbestads IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Herrestads AIF win (45%). Probabilities: Herrestads AIF 45%, draw 24%, Grebbestads IF 31%.

How many goals are expected in Herrestads AIF vs Grebbestads IF?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Herrestads AIF 1.84 · Grebbestads IF 1.51), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Herrestads AIF vs Grebbestads IF?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.