Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 27/09, 16:00

Prediction: IFK Skövde FK vs IF Karlstad II

Team pages: IFK Skövde FK · IF Karlstad II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

IFK Skövde FK1.97

IF Karlstad II0.81

1X2

65% 21% 15%

IFK Skövde FK Draw IF Karlstad II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Skövde FK 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLDDDWWDWL

IF Karlstad II 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDDLDLL

Head-to-head

IFK Skövde FK 2–1 IF Karlstad II (3 last)

IF Karlstad II0-2IFK Skövde FK
IFK Skövde FK0-1IF Karlstad II
IF Karlstad II2-3IFK Skövde FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Skövde FK 1541 · IF Karlstad II 1393

	IFK Skövde FK	Draw	IF Karlstad II
Our model	64%	23%	14%
Market	66%	19%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Skövde FK (rating 1541 vs 1393).
H2H favours IFK Skövde FK: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Skövde FK	IF Karlstad II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.9 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	0.8 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.75

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:27 +4’	1.36	4.75	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Skövde FK 2–0–1 IF Karlstad II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IF Karlstad II	0-2 HT 0-1	IFK Skövde FK
08/09/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IFK Skövde FK	0-1 HT 0-0	IF Karlstad II
07/07/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IF Karlstad II	2-3 HT 2-2	IFK Skövde FK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	23	19	3	1	54	18	60
2	Skara	23	15	5	3	48	25	50
3	IFK Skövde FK	22	12	5	5	38	25	41
4	Ahlafors IF	23	11	7	5	49	26	40
5	Grebbestads IF	23	12	3	8	42	33	39
6	Herrestads AIF	22	9	7	6	41	38	34
7	Stenungsunds IF	22	8	6	8	38	29	30
8	Vanersborgs FK	23	8	4	11	30	39	28
9	IFK Kumla	23	6	7	10	22	39	25
10	Lidköpings FK	23	6	6	11	28	42	24
11	Motala AIF FK	22	5	8	9	29	32	23
12	IK Tord	22	3	9	10	25	37	18
13	IF Karlstad II	22	2	7	13	23	43	13
14	Vänersborgs IF	23	2	3	18	24	65	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Skövde FK	IF Karlstad II
Husqvarna FF	0-1 L	1-3 L
Motala AIF FK	3-2 W	2-2 D
Vanersborgs FK	1-0 W	1-3 L
Herrestads AIF	2-2 D	2-2 D
Grebbestads IF	1-1 D	1-2 L
Ahlafors IF	0-0 D	0-2 L
Lidköpings FK	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	0 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Skövde FK (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Skövde FK

WLDDDWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
12/09	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/09	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
30/08	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	3-2	3-2	3	0	W
21/08	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
15/08	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
08/08	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
31/07	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/06	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
18/06	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-1	2	0	W

IF Karlstad II

LLLLDDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
05/09	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	2-2	1	8	D
16/08	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
31/07	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	1-2	7	5	L
27/06	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-3	0	0	L
21/06	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	1-3	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Skövde FK vs IF Karlstad II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Skövde FK win (65%). Probabilities: IFK Skövde FK 65%, draw 21%, IF Karlstad II 15%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Skövde FK vs IF Karlstad II?

The model expects 2.79 goals (IFK Skövde FK 1.97 · IF Karlstad II 0.81), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Skövde FK vs IF Karlstad II?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.