Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: Stenungsunds IF vs IFK Skövde FK

Team pages: Stenungsunds IF · IFK Skövde FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Stenungsunds IF1.01

IFK Skövde FK1.51

1X2

25% 26% 49%

Stenungsunds IF Draw IFK Skövde FK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Stenungsunds IF 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWDLDLWW

IFK Skövde FK 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDDDWWDWLW

Head-to-head

Stenungsunds IF 2–1–3 IFK Skövde FK (6 last)

IFK Skövde FK2-0Stenungsunds IF
IFK Skövde FK2-2Stenungsunds IF
Stenungsunds IF0-2IFK Skövde FK
Stenungsunds IF1-3IFK Skövde FK
IFK Skövde FK0-1Stenungsunds IF
IFK Skövde FK1-2Stenungsunds IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stenungsunds IF 1521 · IFK Skövde FK 1527

	Stenungsunds IF	Draw	IFK Skövde FK
Our model	24%	28%	48%
Market	26%	24%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IFK Skövde FK: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stenungsunds IF	IFK Skövde FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4	2.2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.5	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.80

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.25▼	Bet365 3.25
X	3.80 → 3.75▼	Pinn 4.17 ★
2	1.80 → 1.85▲	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:09 +4’	3.40	3.80	1.80
02:09 +5’	3.25▼	3.75▼	1.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:55 +19’	2.89	4.13	1.86
06:13 +40’	2.96▲	4.17▲	1.83▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stenungsunds IF 2–1–3 IFK Skövde FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IFK Skövde FK	2-0 HT 1-0	Stenungsunds IF
30/08/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IFK Skövde FK	2-2 HT 0-1	Stenungsunds IF
04/05/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Stenungsunds IF	0-2 HT 0-1	IFK Skövde FK
05/08/23 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Stenungsunds IF	1-3 HT 0-1	IFK Skövde FK
01/04/23 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IFK Skövde FK	0-1 HT 0-1	Stenungsunds IF
20/11/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IFK Skövde FK	1-2 HT 1-1	Stenungsunds IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	23	19	3	1	54	18	60
2	Skara	23	15	5	3	48	25	50
3	IFK Skövde FK	23	13	5	5	39	25	44
4	Ahlafors IF	23	11	7	5	49	26	40
5	Grebbestads IF	23	12	3	8	42	33	39
6	Herrestads AIF	23	9	7	7	41	42	34
7	Stenungsunds IF	23	9	6	8	43	30	33
8	Vanersborgs FK	23	8	4	11	30	39	28
9	Motala AIF FK	23	6	8	9	33	32	26
10	IFK Kumla	23	6	7	10	22	39	25
11	Lidköpings FK	23	6	6	11	28	42	24
12	IK Tord	23	3	9	11	26	42	18
13	IF Karlstad II	23	2	7	14	23	44	13
14	Vänersborgs IF	23	2	3	18	24	65	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stenungsunds IF	IFK Skövde FK
IK Tord	5-1 W	1-0 W
IF Karlstad II	2-0 W	1-0 W
Vanersborgs FK	0-1 L	1-0 W
Motala AIF FK	2-2 D	3-2 W
Herrestads AIF	0-1 L	2-2 D
Grebbestads IF	1-1 D	1-1 D
IFK Kumla	5-0 W	0-0 D
Lidköpings FK	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Stenungsunds IF (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stenungsunds IF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	4-0	5-1	0	4	W
20/09	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
11/09	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
28/08	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
22/08	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	5-0	9	1	W
08/08	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-1	6	7	W
31/07	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
26/06	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	5	5	L

IFK Skövde FK

LDDDWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
18/09	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
12/09	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/09	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
30/08	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	3-2	3-2	3	0	W
21/08	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
15/08	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
08/08	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
31/07	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/06	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-2	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stenungsunds IF vs IFK Skövde FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IFK Skövde FK win (49%). Probabilities: Stenungsunds IF 25%, draw 26%, IFK Skövde FK 49%.

How many goals are expected in Stenungsunds IF vs IFK Skövde FK?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Stenungsunds IF 1.01 · IFK Skövde FK 1.51), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Stenungsunds IF vs IFK Skövde FK?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.