Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 29/08, 13:00

Prediction: AFC Eskilstuna vs Sollentuna United FF

Team pages: AFC Eskilstuna · Sollentuna United FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

AFC Eskilstuna1.91

Sollentuna United FF1.29

1X2

51% 25% 25%

AFC Eskilstuna Draw Sollentuna United FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Eskilstuna 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWWWWW

Sollentuna United FF 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDDLLDLWW

Head-to-head

AFC Eskilstuna 1–1–3 Sollentuna United FF (5 last)

Sollentuna United FF1-4AFC Eskilstuna
Sollentuna United FF4-3AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna1-2Sollentuna United FF
Sollentuna United FF2-1AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna1-1Sollentuna United FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Eskilstuna 1598 · Sollentuna United FF 1462

	AFC Eskilstuna	Draw	Sollentuna United FF
Our model	51%	24%	25%
Market	51%	25%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Eskilstuna (rating 1598 vs 1462).
H2H favours Sollentuna United FF: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Eskilstuna	Sollentuna United FF
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.2	1.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.60

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.75▼	Pinn 1.81
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.78 ★
2	3.40 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.62

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.7% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:10 +6’	1.80	3.60	3.40
14:30 +3’	1.75▼	3.60	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:22	1.85	3.76	3.51
14:32 +1’	1.81▼	3.78▲	3.62▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Eskilstuna 1–1–3 Sollentuna United FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	1-4 HT 1-2	AFC Eskilstuna
25/08/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	4-3 HT 2-2	AFC Eskilstuna
03/05/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	1-2 HT 1-0	Sollentuna United FF
24/08/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	2-1 HT 0-1	AFC Eskilstuna
19/05/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	1-1 HT 1-1	Sollentuna United FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	18	11	4	3	45	15	37
2	FC Stockholm Internazionale	18	11	3	4	38	17	36
3	IF Karlstad Fotboll	18	11	3	4	29	15	36
4	FC Arlanda	18	9	6	3	30	20	33
5	AFC Eskilstuna	18	9	4	5	31	25	31
6	Enkopings SK	18	9	2	7	27	28	29
7	FBK Karlstad	18	8	4	6	27	28	28
8	Karlbergs BK	18	7	3	8	28	28	24
9	Assyriska Föreningen	18	6	5	7	30	31	23
10	Vasalunds IF	18	6	5	7	28	35	23
11	Gefle IF	18	7	2	9	23	35	23
12	Sollentuna United FF	18	4	8	6	17	25	20
13	Umeå FC	18	4	5	9	21	30	17
14	FC Järfälla	18	4	3	11	23	39	15
15	Piteå IF	18	2	6	10	18	36	12
16	IFK Stocksund	18	2	5	11	36	44	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Eskilstuna	Sollentuna United FF
Umeå FC	3-1 W	1-1 D
Piteå IF	2-2 D	2-2 D
Assyriska Föreningen	1-0 W	0-3 L
Vasalunds IF	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Eskilstuna (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Eskilstuna

LWWWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
14/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
09/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
02/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
26/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
21/06	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	9	2	D
14/06	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
04/06	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-2	4	4	W
30/05	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	1	3	W
24/05	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-3	4	6	L

Sollentuna United FF

DDDDLLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
15/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	2	5	W
09/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
03/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
26/06	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-4	2	2	L
18/06	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
13/06	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	3-3	2	5	D
07/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	10	3	D
30/05	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
24/05	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-2	8	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Eskilstuna vs Sollentuna United FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Eskilstuna win (51%). Probabilities: AFC Eskilstuna 51%, draw 25%, Sollentuna United FF 25%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Eskilstuna vs Sollentuna United FF?

The model expects 3.2 goals (AFC Eskilstuna 1.91 · Sollentuna United FF 1.29), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Eskilstuna vs Sollentuna United FF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.