Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: IFK Skövde FK vs Herrestads AIF

Team pages: IFK Skövde FK · Herrestads AIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

IFK Skövde FK2.03

Herrestads AIF1.35

1X2

52% 23% 25%

IFK Skövde FK Draw Herrestads AIF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Skövde FK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLWDD

Herrestads AIF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDLLWW

Head-to-head

IFK Skövde FK 5–1 Herrestads AIF (6 last)

Herrestads AIF1-2IFK Skövde FK
IFK Skövde FK1-3Herrestads AIF
IFK Skövde FK3-0Herrestads AIF
Herrestads AIF0-1IFK Skövde FK
Herrestads AIF0-2IFK Skövde FK
IFK Skövde FK1-0Herrestads AIF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Skövde FK 1542 · Herrestads AIF 1522

	IFK Skövde FK	Draw	Herrestads AIF
Our model	52%	23%	24%
Market	53%	22%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IFK Skövde FK: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Skövde FK	Herrestads AIF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.1	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	1.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.70

X4.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:30 +25’	1.70	4.00	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Skövde FK 5–0–1 Herrestads AIF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Herrestads AIF	1-2 HT 1-1	IFK Skövde FK
22/03/25 Club Friendly List	IFK Skövde FK	1-3 HT 0-2	Herrestads AIF
20/09/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IFK Skövde FK	3-0 HT 2-0	Herrestads AIF
31/05/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Herrestads AIF	0-1 HT 0-0	IFK Skövde FK
25/08/23 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Herrestads AIF	0-2 HT 0-1	IFK Skövde FK
29/04/23 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IFK Skövde FK	1-0 HT 0-0	Herrestads AIF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	16	13	3	0	37	10	42
2	Skara	16	11	4	1	34	18	37
3	IFK Skövde FK	16	9	3	4	31	20	30
4	Grebbestads IF	16	9	2	5	30	22	29
5	Ahlafors IF	16	7	6	3	33	19	27
6	Herrestads AIF	16	6	5	5	30	31	23
7	Stenungsunds IF	16	6	4	6	28	24	22
8	IFK Kumla	16	5	5	6	17	19	20
9	Motala AIF FK	16	5	4	7	21	21	19
10	Vanersborgs FK	16	4	4	8	21	32	16
11	Lidköpings FK	16	3	3	10	17	35	12
12	IK Tord	16	1	8	7	19	29	11
13	IF Karlstad II	16	2	4	10	17	30	10
14	Vänersborgs IF	16	2	3	11	20	45	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Skövde FK	Herrestads AIF
Ahlafors IF	0-0 D	0-5 L
Skara	0-1 L	0-2 L
IFK Kumla	2-1 W	2-1 W
Vänersborgs IF	6-2 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Skövde FK (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

IFK Skövde FK

WWLWLWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
31/07	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
27/07	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden Cup Qualification	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
25/06	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
18/06	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-1	2	0	W
12/06	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-4	9	3	L
07/06	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-0	1	8	W
29/05	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
22/05	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	2-1	1	6	W
15/05	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-2	6-2	3	1	W

Herrestads AIF

WLDWWDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	3-2	3	0	W
31/07	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	3-1	4-2	7	2	W
26/06	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
18/06	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-2	3	0	L
15/06	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
07/06	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
30/05	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
22/05	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/05	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	0-5	5	2	L
08/05	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	4-0	4-1	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Skövde FK vs Herrestads AIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Skövde FK win (52%). Probabilities: IFK Skövde FK 52%, draw 23%, Herrestads AIF 25%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Skövde FK vs Herrestads AIF?

The model expects 3.38 goals (IFK Skövde FK 2.03 · Herrestads AIF 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Skövde FK vs Herrestads AIF?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.