Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 09/10, 19:00

Prediction: IFK Skövde FK vs Skara

Team pages: IFK Skövde FK · Skara

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

IFK Skövde FK1.33

Skara1.13

1X2

41% 27% 32%

IFK Skövde FK Draw Skara

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Skövde FK 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDDWWDWLWW

Skara 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWWWLW

Head-to-head

IFK Skövde FK 0–1 Skara (1 last)

Skara1-0IFK Skövde FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Skövde FK 1541 · Skara 1556

	IFK Skövde FK	Draw	Skara
Our model	40%	30%	30%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Skövde FK	Skara
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.6	2.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.3	1.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.70

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.19 ★
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:15 +3’	2.10	3.70	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:12 +174’	2.19	3.32	2.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Skövde FK 0–0–1 Skara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Skara	1-0 HT 0-0	IFK Skövde FK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	24	20	3	1	58	18	63
2	Skara	24	16	5	3	51	26	53
3	IFK Skövde FK	24	14	5	5	42	25	47
4	Ahlafors IF	24	12	7	5	55	28	43
5	Grebbestads IF	24	12	3	9	43	36	39
6	Herrestads AIF	24	10	7	7	44	43	37
7	Stenungsunds IF	24	9	6	9	43	33	33
8	Vanersborgs FK	25	8	5	12	33	43	29
9	Lidköpings FK	24	7	6	11	29	42	27
10	Motala AIF FK	24	6	8	10	35	38	26
11	IFK Kumla	25	6	8	11	26	45	26
12	IK Tord	24	4	9	11	29	43	21
13	IF Karlstad II	24	2	7	15	24	47	13
14	Vänersborgs IF	24	2	3	19	24	69	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Skövde FK	Skara
Stenungsunds IF	3-0 W	1-1 D
IF Karlstad II	1-0 W	4-1 W
Husqvarna FF	0-1 L	0-1 L
IK Tord	1-0 W	2-1 W
IFK Kumla	0-0 D	3-1 W
Vanersborgs FK	1-0 W	4-0 W
Grebbestads IF	1-1 D	1-3 L
Ahlafors IF	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Skara (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Skövde FK

DDDWWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	3-0	5	4	W
27/09	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
18/09	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
12/09	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/09	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
30/08	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	3-2	3-2	3	0	W
21/08	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
15/08	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
08/08	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
31/07	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Skara

DWLWDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
26/09	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
19/09	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
06/09	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	3-0	5-0	7	2	W
29/08	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
22/08	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
14/08	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
07/08	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
31/07	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-1	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Skövde FK vs Skara?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Skövde FK win (41%). Probabilities: IFK Skövde FK 41%, draw 27%, Skara 32%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Skövde FK vs Skara?

The model expects 2.46 goals (IFK Skövde FK 1.33 · Skara 1.13), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Skövde FK vs Skara?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.