Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 10/10, 13:00
Prediction: IK Tord vs Grebbestads IF
Team pages: IK Tord · Grebbestads IF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
IK Tord1.82
Grebbestads IF1.25
1X2
IK Tord
Draw
Grebbestads IF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
IK Tord
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Grebbestads IF
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IK Tord
1–2
Grebbestads IF
(3 last)
- Grebbestads IF3-0IK Tord
- Grebbestads IF1-0IK Tord
- IK Tord3-0Grebbestads IF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IK Tord 1476 · Grebbestads IF 1524
| IK Tord | Draw | Grebbestads IF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 51% | 23% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grebbestads IF (rating 1476 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Grebbestads IF: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IK Tord | Grebbestads IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 3.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Tord 1–0–2 Grebbestads IF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Grebbestads IF | 3-0 HT 1-0 | IK Tord |
| 11/10/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Grebbestads IF | 1-0 HT 0-0 | IK Tord |
| 14/06/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IK Tord | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Grebbestads IF |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna FF | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 18 | 63 |
| 2 | Skara | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 52 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | IFK Skövde FK | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 26 | 47 |
| 4 | Ahlafors IF | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 55 | 28 | 43 |
| 5 | Grebbestads IF | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 36 | 39 |
| 6 | Herrestads AIF | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 43 | 37 |
| 7 | Stenungsunds IF | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 33 | 33 |
| 8 | Vanersborgs FK | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 43 | 29 |
| 9 | Lidköpings FK | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 42 | 27 |
| 10 | Motala AIF FK | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 38 | 26 |
| 11 | IFK Kumla | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 26 |
| 12 | IK Tord | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 43 | 21 |
| 13 | IF Karlstad II | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 47 | 13 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 24 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 24 | 69 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IK Tord | Grebbestads IF |
|---|---|---|
| IF Karlstad II | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Stenungsunds IF | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| IFK Skövde FK | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Husqvarna FF | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Vänersborgs IF | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Skara | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Motala AIF FK | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Herrestads AIF | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Grebbestads IF (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IK Tord
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 31/07 | IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Grebbestads IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/09 | Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/08 | Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/07 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IK Tord vs Grebbestads IF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Tord win (50%). Probabilities: IK Tord 50%, draw 24%, Grebbestads IF 26%.
How many goals are expected in IK Tord vs Grebbestads IF?
The model expects 3.07 goals (IK Tord 1.82 · Grebbestads IF 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in IK Tord vs Grebbestads IF?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.