Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 08/10, 19:30
Prediction: Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Kumla
Team pages: Vanersborgs FK · IFK Kumla
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Vanersborgs FK1.43
IFK Kumla1.5
1X2
Vanersborgs FK
Draw
IFK Kumla
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Vanersborgs FK
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
IFK Kumla
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vanersborgs FK
2–1–3
IFK Kumla
(6 last)
- IFK Kumla0-0Vanersborgs FK
- IFK Kumla1-2Vanersborgs FK
- Vanersborgs FK2-1IFK Kumla
- Vanersborgs FK0-4IFK Kumla
- IFK Kumla3-2Vanersborgs FK
- IFK Kumla3-1Vanersborgs FK
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vanersborgs FK 1475 · IFK Kumla 1445
| Vanersborgs FK | Draw | IFK Kumla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Market | 36% | 25% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours IFK Kumla: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vanersborgs FK | IFK Kumla | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.3 | 1.3 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vanersborgs FK 2–1–3 IFK Kumla
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IFK Kumla | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Vanersborgs FK |
| 02/08/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IFK Kumla | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Vanersborgs FK |
| 24/05/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Vanersborgs FK | 2-1 HT 1-1 | IFK Kumla |
| 11/10/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Vanersborgs FK | 0-4 HT 0-1 | IFK Kumla |
| 15/06/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IFK Kumla | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Vanersborgs FK |
| 23/06/22 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IFK Kumla | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Vanersborgs FK |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna FF | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 18 | 63 |
| 2 | Skara | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 51 | 26 | 53 |
| 3 | IFK Skövde FK | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 47 |
| 4 | Ahlafors IF | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 55 | 28 | 43 |
| 5 | Grebbestads IF | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 36 | 39 |
| 6 | Herrestads AIF | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 43 | 37 |
| 7 | Stenungsunds IF | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 33 | 33 |
| 8 | Vanersborgs FK | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 43 | 29 |
| 9 | Lidköpings FK | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 42 | 27 |
| 10 | Motala AIF FK | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 38 | 26 |
| 11 | IFK Kumla | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 26 |
| 12 | IK Tord | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 43 | 21 |
| 13 | IF Karlstad II | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 47 | 13 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 24 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 24 | 69 | 9 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vanersborgs FK | IFK Kumla |
|---|---|---|
| Lidköpings FK | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Husqvarna FF | 1-3 L | 2-6 L |
| IK Tord | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Stenungsunds IF | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Ahlafors IF | 1-0 W | 1-7 L |
| IFK Skövde FK | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Vänersborgs IF | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Skara | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Herrestads AIF | 2-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 6 L | 2 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Vanersborgs FK (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vanersborgs FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/09 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/08 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/08 | Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
IFK Kumla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/09 | Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 11/09 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/09 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 29/08 | Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-3 | 1-7 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-3 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Kumla?
According to our model, the most likely result is an IFK Kumla win (39%). Probabilities: Vanersborgs FK 36%, draw 26%, IFK Kumla 39%.
How many goals are expected in Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Kumla?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Vanersborgs FK 1.43 · IFK Kumla 1.5), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Kumla?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.