Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 23/10, 19:30

Prediction: FC Järfälla vs Hammarby TFF

Team pages: FC Järfälla · Hammarby TFF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

FC Järfälla0.97

Hammarby TFF1.92

1X2

18% 23% 59%

FC Järfälla Draw Hammarby TFF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Järfälla 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLDLW

Hammarby TFF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWDLWLLW

Head-to-head

FC Järfälla 0–1–0 Hammarby TFF (1 last)

Hammarby TFF1-1FC Järfälla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Järfälla 1448 · Hammarby TFF 1481

	FC Järfälla	Draw	Hammarby TFF
Our model	18%	24%	58%
Market	18%	23%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Järfälla	Hammarby TFF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.1	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 5	2.9 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.00

X3.90

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.90

2 (-1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 07:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.00▼	Pinn 5.20
X	4.10 → 3.90▼	Pinn 4.60 ★
2	1.48 → 1.53▲	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 10.9% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:57 +9’	5.25	4.10	1.48
14:00 +8’	4.75▼	4.00▼	1.50▲
15:56 +12’	4.75	3.80▼	1.55▲
23:54 +9’	5.00▲	3.90▲	1.50▼
06:51 +12’	5.00	3.90	1.53▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:58 +10’	4.98	4.57	1.49
13:37 +31’	4.77▼	4.44▼	1.52▲
15:25 +43’	4.58▼	4.32▼	1.55▲
21:53 +38’	4.41▼	4.25▼	1.59▲
23:28 +35’	4.69▲	4.35▲	1.54▼
03:38 +29’	4.92▲	4.48▲	1.50▼
07:00 +4’	5.20▲	4.60▲	1.47▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Järfälla 0–1–0 Hammarby TFF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Hammarby TFF	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Järfälla

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	27	19	4	4	64	22	61
2	AFC Eskilstuna	27	15	5	7	52	37	50
3	Hammarby TFF	27	14	6	7	53	27	48
4	FC Arlanda	27	14	6	7	47	34	48
5	Enkopings SK	27	15	3	9	42	41	48
6	FBK Karlstad	27	13	7	7	44	37	46
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	27	12	8	7	41	27	44
8	Umeå FC	27	11	5	11	39	43	38
9	Assyriska Föreningen	27	10	5	12	45	48	35
10	Karlbergs BK	27	9	6	12	37	47	33
11	Gefle IF	27	9	5	13	33	47	32
12	Sollentuna United FF	27	6	10	11	28	37	28
13	Vasalunds IF	27	7	7	13	39	59	28
14	Piteå IF	27	5	9	13	34	50	24
15	FC Järfälla	27	6	4	17	37	58	22
16	IFK Stocksund	27	3	6	18	46	67	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Järfälla	Hammarby TFF
FC Arlanda	3-1 W	2-4 L
Umeå FC	1-2 L	1-2 L
IFK Stocksund	1-1 D	2-1 W
Piteå IF	1-3 L	1-1 D
Karlbergs BK	5-0 W	0-0 D
FC Stockholm Internazionale	0-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Järfälla (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Järfälla

LLLLWLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-1	3	4	W
11/10	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
03/10	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
26/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	2-4	5	5	L
20/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-3	6	7	L
17/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	5-0	7	3	W
12/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
05/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-3	6	0	L
29/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
21/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	2	3	L

Hammarby TFF

DDLWDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
11/10	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	9	1	L
04/10	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
25/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
21/09	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-3	2-4	6	2	L
17/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
12/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
05/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-3	5	2	L
31/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
23/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-1	7	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Järfälla vs Hammarby TFF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hammarby TFF win (59%). Probabilities: FC Järfälla 18%, draw 23%, Hammarby TFF 59%.

How many goals are expected in FC Järfälla vs Hammarby TFF?

The model expects 2.9 goals (FC Järfälla 0.97 · Hammarby TFF 1.92), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Järfälla vs Hammarby TFF?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.