Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 30/08, 16:00

Prediction: Laholms FK vs Ariana FC Malmo

Team pages: Laholms FK · Ariana FC Malmo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Laholms FK1.48

Ariana FC Malmo2.09

1X2

26% 24% 50%

Laholms FK Draw Ariana FC Malmo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Laholms FK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Ariana FC Malmo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Laholms FK 0–1 Ariana FC Malmo (1 last)

Ariana FC Malmo4-2Laholms FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Laholms FK 1477 · Ariana FC Malmo 1506

	Laholms FK	Draw	Ariana FC Malmo
Our model	26%	23%	51%
Market	26%	24%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Laholms FK	Ariana FC Malmo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	2.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.5	3.8 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.75

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 08:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
X	3.80 → 3.75▼	Pinn 4.45 ★
2	1.70 → 1.80▲	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.8% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:56 +3’	3.80	3.80	1.70
23:51 +8’	3.30▼	3.70▼	1.85▲
08:25 +8’	3.50▲	3.75▲	1.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:19	3.10	4.34	1.85
18:16	3.06▼	4.25▼	1.88▲
08:32 +1’	3.49▲	4.45▲	1.72▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Laholms FK 0–0–1 Ariana FC Malmo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Ariana FC Malmo	4-2 HT 2-2	Laholms FK

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	18	10	6	2	39	20	36
2	Atvidabergs FF	18	10	5	3	38	23	35
3	Hässleholms IF	18	10	3	5	36	23	33
4	Lunds BK	18	8	7	3	34	24	31
5	Ariana FC Malmo	18	8	5	5	35	27	29
6	FC Rosengård 1917	18	7	7	4	28	22	28
7	Tvååkers IF	18	8	4	6	26	27	28
8	Eskilsminne IF	18	7	4	7	30	31	25
9	Jonkopings Sodra	18	6	5	7	24	19	23
10	BK Olympic	18	7	2	9	30	33	23
11	FC Trollhättan	18	5	7	6	22	28	22
12	Skövde AIK	18	4	8	6	17	27	20
13	Angelholm	18	3	8	7	25	30	17
14	Laholms FK	18	5	2	11	23	32	17
15	Kristianstad FC	18	4	5	9	19	29	17
16	Utsiktens BK	18	1	4	13	15	46	7

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Laholms FK	Ariana FC Malmo
Jonkopings Sodra	0-0 D	1-0 W
BK Olympic	2-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ariana FC Malmo (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Laholms FK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	7	5	L
15/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
08/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
01/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
27/06	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	3-1	4	2	W
21/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	3-0	1	3	W
13/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-3	2-3	7	4	L
04/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	1-2	9	4	L
30/05	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-2	2-4	1	4	L
24/05	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-3	7	2	L

Ariana FC Malmo

WWWWLWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-5	3	2	L
15/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	12	4	D
08/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
01/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-2	7	4	D
27/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
21/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	13	3	L
12/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	4-1	5	1	W
07/06	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
30/05	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-2	4-2	9	4	W
23/05	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	4-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Laholms FK vs Ariana FC Malmo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ariana FC Malmo win (50%). Probabilities: Laholms FK 26%, draw 24%, Ariana FC Malmo 50%.

How many goals are expected in Laholms FK vs Ariana FC Malmo?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Laholms FK 1.48 · Ariana FC Malmo 2.09), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Laholms FK vs Ariana FC Malmo?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.