Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 16/09, 19:00

Prediction: IF Karlstad Fotboll vs FBK Karlstad

Team pages: IF Karlstad Fotboll · FBK Karlstad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

IF Karlstad Fotboll2.03

FBK Karlstad1.36

1X2

52% 24% 24%

IF Karlstad Fotboll Draw FBK Karlstad

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

IF Karlstad Fotboll 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLLDLL

FBK Karlstad 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLDWLWWW

Head-to-head

IF Karlstad Fotboll 1–1–1 FBK Karlstad (3 last)

FBK Karlstad2-3IF Karlstad Fotboll
FBK Karlstad1-1IF Karlstad Fotboll
IF Karlstad Fotboll1-2FBK Karlstad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IF Karlstad Fotboll 1479 · FBK Karlstad 1507

	IF Karlstad Fotboll	Draw	FBK Karlstad
Our model	52%	23%	25%
Market	51%	25%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IF Karlstad Fotboll	FBK Karlstad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.7	2.9 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	1.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.60

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.78
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.77 ★
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:28 +5’	1.75	3.60	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:24 +8’	1.78	3.77	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Karlstad Fotboll 1–1–1 FBK Karlstad

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	FBK Karlstad	2-3 HT 1-1	IF Karlstad Fotboll
08/09/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	FBK Karlstad	1-1 HT 0-1	IF Karlstad Fotboll
31/05/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	IF Karlstad Fotboll	1-2 HT 0-0	FBK Karlstad

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	21	14	3	4	48	17	45
2	Hammarby TFF	21	12	5	4	46	18	41
3	AFC Eskilstuna	21	12	4	5	36	27	40
4	IF Karlstad Fotboll	21	11	4	6	33	21	37
5	FBK Karlstad	21	11	4	6	36	32	37
6	FC Arlanda	21	10	6	5	34	25	36
7	Enkopings SK	21	11	2	8	32	34	35
8	Assyriska Föreningen	21	8	5	8	35	34	29
9	Karlbergs BK	21	8	4	9	29	31	28
10	Gefle IF	21	8	3	10	28	39	27
11	Sollentuna United FF	21	5	8	8	19	28	23
12	Vasalunds IF	21	6	5	10	33	43	23
13	Umeå FC	21	6	5	10	26	37	23
14	Piteå IF	21	3	6	12	24	41	15
15	FC Järfälla	21	4	3	14	24	47	15
16	IFK Stocksund	21	3	5	13	41	50	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IF Karlstad Fotboll	FBK Karlstad
Sollentuna United FF	1-2 L	2-0 W
Assyriska Föreningen	0-2 L	0-2 L
FC Järfälla	4-1 W	3-0 W
Enkopings SK	2-1 W	2-0 W
FC Arlanda	0-1 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FBK Karlstad (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IF Karlstad Fotboll

WDLWWLLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-2	10	7	L
05/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
29/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
22/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
15/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
08/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-1	6	2	W
02/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	6	2	W
27/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
21/06	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
13/06	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	5	2	W

FBK Karlstad

LWLLDWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
05/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	3-0	8	0	W
30/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-3	1	0	W
23/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-5	1-5	4	3	L
16/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	7	4	W
09/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	7	2	D
01/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
26/06	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-7	11	1	L
18/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-0	5	2	W
14/06	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-3	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IF Karlstad Fotboll vs FBK Karlstad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IF Karlstad Fotboll win (52%). Probabilities: IF Karlstad Fotboll 52%, draw 24%, FBK Karlstad 24%.

How many goals are expected in IF Karlstad Fotboll vs FBK Karlstad?

The model expects 3.39 goals (IF Karlstad Fotboll 2.03 · FBK Karlstad 1.36), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IF Karlstad Fotboll vs FBK Karlstad?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.