Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 30/08, 16:00

Prediction: Trelleborgs FF vs Utsiktens BK

Team pages: Trelleborgs FF · Utsiktens BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Trelleborgs FF2.63

Utsiktens BK0.64

1X2

80% 14% 7%

Trelleborgs FF Draw Utsiktens BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Trelleborgs FF 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDDWLL

Utsiktens BK 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLDLDD

Head-to-head

Trelleborgs FF 2–3–1 Utsiktens BK (6 last)

Utsiktens BK0-0Trelleborgs FF
Utsiktens BK3-1Trelleborgs FF
Trelleborgs FF1-1Utsiktens BK
Utsiktens BK0-2Trelleborgs FF
Trelleborgs FF2-2Utsiktens BK
Utsiktens BK2-3Trelleborgs FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trelleborgs FF 1515 · Utsiktens BK 1424

	Trelleborgs FF	Draw	Utsiktens BK
Our model	79%	15%	6%
Market	80%	13%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trelleborgs FF (rating 1515 vs 1424).
H2H favours Trelleborgs FF: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Trelleborgs FF	Utsiktens BK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	0.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.2 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	0/20/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.1	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.14

X7.00

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.95

2 (+2.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 23:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.14▼	Bet365 1.14
X	6.25 → 7.00▲	Pinn 7.87 ★
2	10.00 → 13.00▲	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 9.5% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:51 +8’	1.18	6.25	10.00
16:11 +8’	1.14▼	7.00▲	15.00▲
23:33 +25’	1.14	7.00	13.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:19	1.14	7.87	11.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trelleborgs FF 2–3–1 Utsiktens BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Utsiktens BK	0-0 HT 0-0	Trelleborgs FF
19/10/25 Sweden Superettan	Utsiktens BK	3-1 HT 1-0	Trelleborgs FF
15/06/25 Sweden Superettan	Trelleborgs FF	1-1 HT 1-1	Utsiktens BK
10/08/24 Sweden Superettan	Utsiktens BK	0-2 HT 0-1	Trelleborgs FF
11/05/24 Sweden Superettan	Trelleborgs FF	2-2 HT 1-2	Utsiktens BK
24/09/23 Sweden Superettan	Utsiktens BK	2-3 HT 2-0	Trelleborgs FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	18	10	6	2	39	20	36
2	Atvidabergs FF	18	10	5	3	38	23	35
3	Hässleholms IF	18	10	3	5	36	23	33
4	Lunds BK	18	8	7	3	34	24	31
5	Ariana FC Malmo	18	8	5	5	35	27	29
6	FC Rosengård 1917	18	7	7	4	28	22	28
7	Tvååkers IF	18	8	4	6	26	27	28
8	Eskilsminne IF	18	7	4	7	30	31	25
9	Jonkopings Sodra	18	6	5	7	24	19	23
10	BK Olympic	18	7	2	9	30	33	23
11	FC Trollhättan	18	5	7	6	22	28	22
12	Skövde AIK	18	4	8	6	17	27	20
13	Angelholm	18	3	8	7	25	30	17
14	Laholms FK	18	5	2	11	23	32	17
15	Kristianstad FC	18	4	5	9	19	29	17
16	Utsiktens BK	18	1	4	13	15	46	7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trelleborgs FF	Utsiktens BK
Eskilsminne IF	1-3 L	2-2 D
FC Rosengård 1917	3-2 W	1-1 D
Hässleholms IF	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Trelleborgs FF (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trelleborgs FF

DWWWWDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
16/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
08/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	2	W
02/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
26/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
18/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	2-2	3-2	3	4	W
14/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	15	6	W
07/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	4-0	7	1	W
30/05	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	3-2	6	5	W
23/05	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	0	D

Utsiktens BK

DLLLLLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
16/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	3	0	D
08/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
01/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	7	2	D
27/06	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-3	1	2	L
17/06	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	0-3	12	0	L
13/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	2-4	9	2	L
08/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
30/05	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
23/05	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	1	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trelleborgs FF vs Utsiktens BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Trelleborgs FF win (80%). Probabilities: Trelleborgs FF 80%, draw 14%, Utsiktens BK 7%.

How many goals are expected in Trelleborgs FF vs Utsiktens BK?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Trelleborgs FF 2.63 · Utsiktens BK 0.64), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Trelleborgs FF vs Utsiktens BK?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.