Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 27/09, 13:00

Prediction: Trelleborgs FF vs Angelholm

Team pages: Trelleborgs FF · Angelholm

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Trelleborgs FF2.48

Angelholm1.13

1X2

66% 20% 15%

Trelleborgs FF Draw Angelholm

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Trelleborgs FF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLLWLWWW

Angelholm 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DDLLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Trelleborgs FF 2–1–0 Angelholm (3 last)

Angelholm1-5Trelleborgs FF
Angelholm1-1Trelleborgs FF
Trelleborgs FF2-0Angelholm

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trelleborgs FF 1547 · Angelholm 1377

	Trelleborgs FF	Draw	Angelholm
Our model	66%	19%	15%
Market	66%	20%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trelleborgs FF (rating 1547 vs 1377).
H2H favours Trelleborgs FF: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Trelleborgs FF	Angelholm
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	0.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.5	1.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	1.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.50

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
22:02 +5’	1.36	4.50	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Trelleborgs FF 2–1–0 Angelholm

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	1-5 HT 0-3	Trelleborgs FF
20/08/16 Sweden Superettan	Angelholm	1-1 HT 1-0	Trelleborgs FF
12/06/16 Sweden Superettan	Trelleborgs FF	2-0 HT 0-0	Angelholm

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	23	14	6	3	49	27	48
2	Hässleholms IF	23	13	3	7	43	27	42
3	Atvidabergs FF	23	12	6	5	46	33	42
4	Lunds BK	23	11	8	4	46	27	41
5	Ariana FC Malmo	23	9	8	6	42	34	35
6	FC Rosengård 1917	23	9	8	6	39	33	35
7	FC Trollhättan	23	9	7	7	37	34	34
8	Jonkopings Sodra	23	9	6	8	29	22	33
9	Tvååkers IF	23	9	6	8	30	33	33
10	BK Olympic	23	9	3	11	40	44	30
11	Eskilsminne IF	23	8	5	10	38	42	29
12	Skövde AIK	23	6	9	8	26	35	27
13	Kristianstad FC	23	6	6	11	28	36	24
14	Laholms FK	23	6	4	13	30	41	22
15	Angelholm	23	3	9	11	27	43	18
16	Utsiktens BK	23	1	6	16	18	57	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trelleborgs FF	Angelholm
Skövde AIK	1-2 L	0-3 L
FC Trollhättan	1-2 L	0-1 L
Eskilsminne IF	1-3 L	2-2 D
Ariana FC Malmo	2-1 W	2-2 D
Lunds BK	2-2 D	0-2 L
Kristianstad FC	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Trelleborgs FF (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trelleborgs FF

DDWLLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
17/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	4-3	3	4	W
12/09	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
06/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	11	1	L
30/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
22/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
16/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
08/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	2	W
02/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
26/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Angelholm

DDLLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
16/09	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
12/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	0-3	11	1	L
05/09	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-5	6	1	L
29/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
22/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-4	7	2	L
15/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
07/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
01/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-2	0	4	D
27/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trelleborgs FF vs Angelholm?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Trelleborgs FF win (66%). Probabilities: Trelleborgs FF 66%, draw 20%, Angelholm 15%.

How many goals are expected in Trelleborgs FF vs Angelholm?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Trelleborgs FF 2.48 · Angelholm 1.13), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Trelleborgs FF vs Angelholm?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.