Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 13/08, 21:15

Prediction: Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Njardvik

Team pages: Grotta Seltjarnarnes · Njardvik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

Grotta Seltjarnarnes1.53

Njardvik2.06

1X2

27% 24% 49%

Grotta Seltjarnarnes Draw Njardvik

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Grotta Seltjarnarnes 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDWWLWWD

Njardvik 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Grotta Seltjarnarnes 3–1–2 Njardvik (6 last)

Njardvik1-2Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Njardvik1-0Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Grotta Seltjarnarnes2-3Njardvik
Grotta Seltjarnarnes3-2Njardvik
Njardvik1-3Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Grotta Seltjarnarnes1-1Njardvik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1524 · Njardvik 1531

	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	Draw	Njardvik
Our model	28%	23%	49%
Market	27%	24%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Grotta Seltjarnarnes: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	Njardvik
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	2.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.3	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6	3.3 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.70

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.46
X	3.75 → 3.70▼	Pinn 3.94 ★
2	1.90 → 1.85▼	Pinn 1.87

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:15 +6’	3.20	3.75	1.90
04:24 +2’	3.30▲	3.70▼	1.85▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:25 +1’	3.46	3.94	1.87

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 3–1–2 Njardvik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild	Njardvik	1-2 HT 0-0	Grotta Seltjarnarnes
22/08/24 Iceland 1 Deild	Njardvik	1-0 HT 1-0	Grotta Seltjarnarnes
19/06/24 Iceland 1 Deild	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	2-3 HT 0-0	Njardvik
13/04/24 Iceland Cup	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	3-2 HT 1-2	Njardvik
21/07/23 Iceland 1 Deild	Njardvik	1-3 HT 1-1	Grotta Seltjarnarnes
05/05/23 Iceland 1 Deild	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	1-1 HT 1-0	Njardvik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Afturelding	16	11	1	4	48	26	34
2	Throttur Reykjavik	17	10	4	3	37	17	34
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	17	11	0	6	35	26	33
4	Njardvik	17	9	2	6	27	22	29
5	HK Kopavogur	17	9	1	7	40	32	28
6	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	16	8	2	6	33	29	26
7	Leiknir Reykjavik	17	6	4	7	23	25	22
8	IF Vestri	17	6	3	8	27	37	21
9	IR Reykjavik	17	5	4	8	30	38	19
10	Grindavik	17	3	8	6	17	24	17
11	Volsungur	17	3	5	9	23	39	14
12	KF Aegir	17	2	2	13	21	46	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	Njardvik
Throttur Reykjavik	1-1 D	1-0 W
IF Vestri	3-0 W	3-1 W
KF Aegir	6-1 W	1-0 W
Grindavik	1-2 L	5-4 W
Leiknir Reykjavik	1-0 W	1-0 W
HK Kopavogur	2-1 W	3-2 W
Volsungur	2-2 D	1-2 L
Fylkir Reykjavik	2-5 L	1-4 L
IR Reykjavik	1-2 L	5-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	7 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Grotta Seltjarnarnes

DLLDWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
03/08	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
18/07	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	6-1	7	0	W
14/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
10/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
03/07	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	2-1	2-1	6	10	W
27/06	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	2-2	10	5	D
21/06	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	2-5	4	0	L
17/06	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
13/06	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland Cup	1-0	1-1	6	9	D

Njardvik

WLWLWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-1	3	1	W
28/07	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
24/07	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-2	10	3	W
17/07	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-4	1-4	2	4	L
10/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	3-3	5-4	6	4	W
03/07	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	15	6	W
26/06	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
19/06	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-0	6	1	W
13/06	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-2	12	4	L
05/06	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	2-1	5-1	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Njardvik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Njardvik win (49%). Probabilities: Grotta Seltjarnarnes 27%, draw 24%, Njardvik 49%.

How many goals are expected in Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Njardvik?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1.53 · Njardvik 2.06), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Njardvik?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.