Prediction: KF Aegir vs Fylkir Reykjavik
Expected goals: 3.3 (KF Aegir 1.03 · Fylkir Reykjavik 2.27). The model gives 15% home, 21% draw, 64% away. Under 3.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Over its last 10 matches, KF Aegir sits at 2-2-6 (W-D-L), while Fylkir Reykjavik arrives on a 6-1-3 run. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for KF Aegir and 1 for Fylkir Reykjavik.
| KF Aegir | Draw | Fylkir Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 21% | 64% |
| Market | 15% | 21% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fylkir Reykjavik (rating 1434 vs 1528).
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KF Aegir | Fylkir Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.5 | 2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.3 | 3.1 / 8.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Aegir 1–0–1 Fylkir Reykjavik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Fylkir Reykjavik | 3-0 HT 0-0 | KF Aegir |
| 26/06/22 Iceland Cup | KF Aegir | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fylkir Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Throttur Reykjavik | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 23 |
| 2 | Afturelding | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 | IF Vestri | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 20 |
| 5 | HK Kopavogur | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 19 |
| 6 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Njardvik | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| 8 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 24 | 13 |
| 9 | IR Reykjavik | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 11 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 11 | KF Aegir | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 8 |
| 12 | Volsungur | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KF Aegir | Fylkir Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Afturelding | 1-8 L | 1-5 L |
| Grindavik | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Throttur Reykjavik | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Volsungur | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| IR Reykjavik | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fylkir Reykjavik (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KF Aegir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 1-8 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 21/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Breidablik Iceland Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Fylkir Reykjavik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-2 | 5-2 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 17/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 16 | 9 | D |
| 06/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KF Aegir vs Fylkir Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fylkir Reykjavik win (64%). Probabilities: KF Aegir 15%, draw 21%, Fylkir Reykjavik 64%.
How many goals are expected in KF Aegir vs Fylkir Reykjavik?
The model expects 3.3 goals (KF Aegir 1.03 · Fylkir Reykjavik 2.27), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in KF Aegir vs Fylkir Reykjavik?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.