Prediction: Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik
Expected goals: 2.98 (Njardvik 1.44 · Throttur Reykjavik 1.54). The model gives 34% home, 26% draw, 39% away. Under 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Njardvik sits at 4-1-5 (W-D-L), while Throttur Reykjavik arrives on a 5-2-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Njardvik won 2 and Throttur Reykjavik 2, with 2 draws.
| Njardvik | Draw | Throttur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Throttur Reykjavik (rating 1475 vs 1562).
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Njardvik | Throttur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6 | 3 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Njardvik 2–2–2 Throttur Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Njardvik |
| 17/08/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Njardvik | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 09/06/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Njardvik |
| 25/07/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Njardvik | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 18/05/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Njardvik |
| 02/08/23 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 3-5 HT 1-4 | Njardvik |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Throttur Reykjavik | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 23 |
| 2 | Afturelding | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 | IF Vestri | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 20 |
| 5 | HK Kopavogur | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 19 |
| 6 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Njardvik | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| 8 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 24 | 13 |
| 9 | IR Reykjavik | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 11 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 11 | KF Aegir | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 8 |
| 12 | Volsungur | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Njardvik | Throttur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Afturelding | 0-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Volsungur | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| IF Vestri | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| KF Aegir | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| HK Kopavogur | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Throttur Reykjavik (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Njardvik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 05/06 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/05 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 18/05 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Afturelding Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 2-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Throttur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 12/06 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 18/05 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Breidablik Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Throttur Reykjavik win (39%). Probabilities: Njardvik 34%, draw 26%, Throttur Reykjavik 39%.
How many goals are expected in Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Njardvik 1.44 · Throttur Reykjavik 1.54), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

