Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 03/07, 21:15

Prediction: Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik

Expected goals: 2.98 (Njardvik 1.44 · Throttur Reykjavik 1.54). The model gives 34% home, 26% draw, 39% away. Under 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Njardvik sits at 4-1-5 (W-D-L), while Throttur Reykjavik arrives on a 5-2-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Njardvik won 2 and Throttur Reykjavik 2, with 2 draws.

39%2
34% 26% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Njardvik 1475 · Throttur Reykjavik 1562
NjardvikDrawThrottur Reykjavik
Our model34%27%39%
Market35%26%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.98Njardvik 1.44 · Throttur Reykjavik 1.54
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Throttur Reykjavik (rating 1475 vs 1562).
  • High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NjardvikThrottur Reykjavik
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.42.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.21 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 63 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.24.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Njardvik 222 Throttur Reykjavik

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Iceland 1 Deild
Throttur Reykjavik2-0
HT 0-0
Njardvik
17/08/25
Iceland 1 Deild
Njardvik2-3
HT 1-2
Throttur Reykjavik
09/06/25
Iceland 1 Deild
Throttur Reykjavik2-2
HT 1-0
Njardvik
25/07/24
Iceland 1 Deild
Njardvik1-1
HT 0-0
Throttur Reykjavik
18/05/24
Iceland 1 Deild
Throttur Reykjavik0-1
HT 0-0
Njardvik
02/08/23
Iceland 1 Deild
Throttur Reykjavik3-5
HT 1-4
Njardvik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Throttur Reykjavik 11722 251223
2 Afturelding 11713 331822
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 11704 191521
4 IF Vestri 12624 222020
5 HK Kopavogur 11614 201819
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 11533 141218
7 Njardvik 11425 131114
8 Grotta Seltjarnarnes 10415 192413
9 IR Reykjavik 11326 232911
10 Grindavik 10163 9129
11 KF Aegir 12228 13288
12 Volsungur 11146 13247

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNjardvikThrottur Reykjavik
Afturelding 0-2 L 3-4 L
Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 W 1-1 D
Volsungur 1-2 L 3-0 W
Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1-2 L 2-3 L
IF Vestri 3-0 W 1-1 D
KF Aegir 0-0 D 3-1 W
HK Kopavogur 0-2 L 2-0 W
Fylkir Reykjavik 2-0 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 4 L 4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Throttur Reykjavik (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Njardvik

WLLDWLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-2 53 L
19/06 Leiknir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 1-0 61 W
13/06 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 1-2 124 L
05/06 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
2-1 5-1 62 W
31/05 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-2 42 L
27/05 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
3-0 3-0 40 W
23/05 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-0 91 D
18/05 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-2 32 L
13/05 Afturelding
Iceland Cup
0-1 2-5 84 L
08/05 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 2-0 37 W

Throttur Reykjavik

WLDLLWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 1-1 84 D
21/06 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 3-1 87 W
12/06 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 2-0 57 W
06/06 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 3-1 74 W
01/06 Grindavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 2-0 53 W
27/05 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
2-1 2-3 112 L
22/05 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
2-3 3-4 78 L
18/05 Leiknir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-1 64 D
13/05 Breidablik
Iceland Cup
0-1 1-2 85 L
09/05 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
3-0 3-0 47 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Throttur Reykjavik win (39%). Probabilities: Njardvik 34%, draw 26%, Throttur Reykjavik 39%.

How many goals are expected in Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Njardvik 1.44 · Throttur Reykjavik 1.54), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.