Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 29/07, 20:00

Prediction: Fylkir Reykjavik vs Volsungur

Team pages: Fylkir Reykjavik · Volsungur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.96Total

Fylkir Reykjavik2.93

Volsungur1.02

1X2

75% 15% 10%

Fylkir Reykjavik Draw Volsungur

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fylkir Reykjavik 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWWWDL

Volsungur 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWDDDLLW

Head-to-head

Fylkir Reykjavik 3–1 Volsungur (4 last)

Volsungur0-1Fylkir Reykjavik
Fylkir Reykjavik1-2Volsungur
Volsungur1-4Fylkir Reykjavik
Volsungur0-6Fylkir Reykjavik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fylkir Reykjavik 1531 · Volsungur 1464

	Fylkir Reykjavik	Draw	Volsungur
Our model	75%	15%	10%
Market	75%	15%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fylkir Reykjavik (rating 1531 vs 1464).
H2H favours Fylkir Reykjavik: 3-0-1.
High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fylkir Reykjavik	Volsungur
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.6	1.7 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.7	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.7	2.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.20

X6.00

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.82

2 (+2)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	6.00 → 6.00	Pinn 8.37 ★
2	9.50 → 9.50	Pinn 10.34

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:39 +24’	1.20	6.00	9.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:03 +1’	1.16	8.37	10.34

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fylkir Reykjavik 3–0–1 Volsungur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild	Volsungur	0-1 HT 0-1	Fylkir Reykjavik
06/09/25 Iceland 1 Deild	Fylkir Reykjavik	1-2 HT 1-0	Volsungur
28/06/25 Iceland 1 Deild	Volsungur	1-4 HT 0-2	Fylkir Reykjavik
01/03/25 Iceland League Cup	Volsungur	0-6 HT 0-3	Fylkir Reykjavik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Afturelding	14	10	1	3	43	21	31
2	Throttur Reykjavik	15	9	3	3	32	15	30
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	15	10	0	5	32	22	30
4	HK Kopavogur	16	9	1	6	38	29	28
5	Njardvik	15	7	2	6	23	21	23
6	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	14	7	1	6	29	28	22
7	IF Vestri	15	6	3	6	26	31	21
8	Leiknir Reykjavik	15	5	4	6	20	24	19
9	IR Reykjavik	16	4	4	8	27	36	16
10	Grindavik	15	2	8	5	15	20	14
11	Volsungur	15	2	5	8	19	34	11
12	KF Aegir	15	2	2	11	19	42	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fylkir Reykjavik	Volsungur
IR Reykjavik	0-2 L	4-4 D
Afturelding	1-1 D	1-6 L
Njardvik	4-1 W	2-1 W
IF Vestri	5-2 W	1-5 L
KF Aegir	4-2 W	2-3 L
HK Kopavogur	0-2 L	0-1 L
Grotta Seltjarnarnes	5-2 W	2-2 D
Grindavik	1-0 W	2-0 W
Throttur Reykjavik	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Fylkir Reykjavik (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fylkir Reykjavik

LDWWLWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-2	8	1	L
21/07	Afturelding Iceland Cup	0-0	1-1	5	10	D
17/07	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	4-1	9	4	W
13/07	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	5-0	5-2	2	4	W
03/07	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	4-1	4-2	3	2	W
26/06	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
21/06	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	0-2	5-2	10	0	W
17/06	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	12	2	W
13/06	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland Cup	0-1	1-1	16	9	D
06/06	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	1-3	7	4	L

Volsungur

LLLWDDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-0	13	2	W
18/07	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
11/07	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	1-4	1-6	7	9	L
04/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-3	6	7	D
27/06	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
21/06	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-3	4-4	4	4	D
13/06	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
06/06	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	1-5	4	3	L
31/05	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	0-2	2-3	11	3	L
27/05	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-1	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fylkir Reykjavik vs Volsungur?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fylkir Reykjavik win (75%). Probabilities: Fylkir Reykjavik 75%, draw 15%, Volsungur 10%.

How many goals are expected in Fylkir Reykjavik vs Volsungur?

The model expects 3.96 goals (Fylkir Reykjavik 2.93 · Volsungur 1.02), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fylkir Reykjavik vs Volsungur?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.